Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by June 30?
| Platform | Yes | No | Volume | Last seen | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold | 91.6% | 8.4% | — | 11:38 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 78.0% | 22.0% | — | 19:22 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 63.0% | 37.0% | — | 22:08 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 55.4% | 44.6% | — | 15:11 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 95.1% | 4.9% | — | 12:09 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 84.0% | 16.0% | — | 04:54 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 99.0% | 1.0% | — | 08:05 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 92.2% | 7.8% | — | 11:01 UTC | View → |
What do these odds mean?
As of 2026-07-01 08:05 UTC, prediction markets are pricing Fable 5 reenabled for Americans by June 30? at 99%. The highest reading is 99.0% on manifold, while the lowest is 99.0% on manifold — a spread of 0.0 percentage points. Total volume across 1 platform(s): $0.
How to read cross-platform spreads
When two platforms price the same event meaningfully differently, it usually means one of three things: liquidity is thin on one side, fee structures are pushing a spread, or traders on one platform have information the other lacks. Spreads larger than 5 percentage points on events with over $50K in volume often resolve toward the higher-volume platform's price.
About this data
Beeks.ai aggregates prediction market data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Updates run every minute. Consensus probability is a volume-weighted average across all matched markets. Historical snapshots are stored for calibration analysis.
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