Will Israel attack Iraq in December 2026?
| Platform | Yes | No | Volume | Last seen | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold | 16.7% | 83.3% | — | 02:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 27.0% | 73.0% | — | 02:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 23.0% | 77.0% | — | 14:05 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 21.9% | 78.1% | — | 02:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 30.0% | 70.0% | — | 15:30 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 29.8% | 70.2% | — | 02:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 25.9% | 74.1% | — | 02:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 25.7% | 74.3% | — | 14:05 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 27.6% | 72.4% | — | 02:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 22.8% | 77.2% | — | 02:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 25.7% | 74.3% | — | 14:05 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 16.4% | 83.5% | — | 02:23 UTC | View → |
What do these odds mean?
As of 2026-04-28 15:30 UTC, prediction markets are pricing Will Israel attack Iraq in December 2026? at 30%. The highest reading is 30.0% on manifold, while the lowest is 30.0% on manifold — a spread of 0.0 percentage points. Total volume across 1 platform(s): $0.
How to read cross-platform spreads
When two platforms price the same event meaningfully differently, it usually means one of three things: liquidity is thin on one side, fee structures are pushing a spread, or traders on one platform have information the other lacks. Spreads larger than 5 percentage points on events with over $50K in volume often resolve toward the higher-volume platform's price.
About this data
Beeks.ai aggregates prediction market data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Updates run every minute. Consensus probability is a volume-weighted average across all matched markets. Historical snapshots are stored for calibration analysis.
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