Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 US Open men's singles title?

60% Consensus YES
Platforms 1
Total Volume $0
Cross-platform spread 16.2 pp
Resolves 2026-09-24
manifold 51% manifold 55% manifold 66% manifold 59% manifold 68% manifold 57%
Platform Yes No Volume Last seen Link
Manifold 51.4% 48.6% 16:28 UTC View →
Manifold 55.2% 44.8% 16:28 UTC View →
Manifold 66.3% 33.8% 16:28 UTC View →
Manifold 59.4% 40.6% 16:28 UTC View →
Manifold 67.6% 32.4% 16:28 UTC View →
Manifold 57.1% 42.9% 16:28 UTC View →
Probability history, most recent 30 days

What do these odds mean?

As of 2026-08-12 16:28 UTC, prediction markets are pricing Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 US Open men's singles title? at 60%. The highest reading is 67.6% on manifold, while the lowest is 51.4% on manifold — a spread of 16.2 percentage points. Total volume across 1 platform(s): $0.

How to read cross-platform spreads

When two platforms price the same event meaningfully differently, it usually means one of three things: liquidity is thin on one side, fee structures are pushing a spread, or traders on one platform have information the other lacks. Spreads larger than 5 percentage points on events with over $50K in volume often resolve toward the higher-volume platform's price.

About this data

Beeks.ai aggregates prediction market data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Updates run every minute. Consensus probability is a volume-weighted average across all matched markets. Historical snapshots are stored for calibration analysis.

Last updated: 2026-08-12 16:28:51 UTC · Download JSON

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