Will Non-Republicans hold at least 53% of House seats on any given day by July 27, 2027? (7/27/27)
| Platform | Yes | No | Volume | Last seen | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold | 49.1% | 50.9% | — | 22:41 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 67.6% | 32.4% | — | 16:16 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 50.0% | 50.0% | — | 13:16 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 50.0% | 50.0% | — | 16:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 39.9% | 60.1% | — | 12:36 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 43.0% | 57.0% | — | 14:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 45.8% | 54.2% | — | 13:16 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 63.7% | 36.3% | — | 16:23 UTC | View → |
What do these odds mean?
As of 2026-08-06 13:16 UTC, prediction markets are pricing Will Non-Republicans hold at least 53% of House seats on any given day by July 27, 2027? (7/27/27) at 48%. The highest reading is 50.0% on manifold, while the lowest is 45.8% on manifold — a spread of 4.2 percentage points. Total volume across 1 platform(s): $0.
How to read cross-platform spreads
When two platforms price the same event meaningfully differently, it usually means one of three things: liquidity is thin on one side, fee structures are pushing a spread, or traders on one platform have information the other lacks. Spreads larger than 5 percentage points on events with over $50K in volume often resolve toward the higher-volume platform's price.
About this data
Beeks.ai aggregates prediction market data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Updates run every minute. Consensus probability is a volume-weighted average across all matched markets. Historical snapshots are stored for calibration analysis.
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