πŸ‡§πŸ‡· President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado Γ© presidente em janeiro de 2027

63% Consensus YES
Platforms 1
Total Volume $0
Cross-platform spread 0.0 pp
Resolves 2026-10-03
manifold 63%
Platform Yes No Volume Last seen Link
Manifold 63.0% 37.0% β€” 05:04 UTC View β†’
No history yet β€” first few snapshots pending.
Probability history, most recent 30 days

What do these odds mean?

As of 2026-08-02 05:04 UTC, prediction markets are pricing πŸ‡§πŸ‡· President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado Γ© presidente em janeiro de 2027 at 63%. The highest reading is 63.0% on manifold, while the lowest is 63.0% on manifold β€” a spread of 0.0 percentage points. Total volume across 1 platform(s): $0.

How to read cross-platform spreads

When two platforms price the same event meaningfully differently, it usually means one of three things: liquidity is thin on one side, fee structures are pushing a spread, or traders on one platform have information the other lacks. Spreads larger than 5 percentage points on events with over $50K in volume often resolve toward the higher-volume platform's price.

About this data

Beeks.ai aggregates prediction market data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Updates run every minute. Consensus probability is a volume-weighted average across all matched markets. Historical snapshots are stored for calibration analysis.

Last updated: 2026-08-02 05:04:04 UTC Β· Download JSON

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