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Will Sm2Co17 sintered magnet (Western) commercial price exceed 500 USD/kg on December 31, 2027?

52% Consensus YES
Platforms 1
Total Volume $0
Cross-platform spread 0.0 pp
Resolves 2027-12-31
manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52% manifold 52%
Platform Yes No Volume Last seen Link
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Manifold 52.4% 47.6% — 18:40 UTC View →
Probability history, most recent 30 days

What do these odds mean?

As of 2026-04-10 18:40 UTC, prediction markets are pricing Will Sm2Co17 sintered magnet (Western) commercial price exceed 500 USD/kg on December 31, 2027? at 52%. The highest reading is 52.4% on manifold, while the lowest is 52.4% on manifold — a spread of 0.0 percentage points. Total volume across 1 platform(s): $0.

How to read cross-platform spreads

When two platforms price the same event meaningfully differently, it usually means one of three things: liquidity is thin on one side, fee structures are pushing a spread, or traders on one platform have information the other lacks. Spreads larger than 5 percentage points on events with over $50K in volume often resolve toward the higher-volume platform's price.

About this data

Beeks.ai aggregates prediction market data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Updates run every minute. Consensus probability is a volume-weighted average across all matched markets. Historical snapshots are stored for calibration analysis.

Last updated: 2026-04-10 18:40:39 UTC · Download JSON

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