Will the US CPI year-over-year rate for March 2026 be 3.0% or higher?
| Platform | Yes | No | Volume | Last seen | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold | 57.6% | 42.4% | — | 02:15 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 99.0% | 1.0% | — | 02:15 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 88.0% | 12.0% | — | 02:15 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 90.0% | 10.0% | — | 02:15 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 80.6% | 19.4% | — | 02:15 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 82.3% | 17.7% | — | 02:15 UTC | View → |
What do these odds mean?
As of 2026-04-10 02:15 UTC, prediction markets are pricing Will the US CPI year-over-year rate for March 2026 be 3.0% or higher? at 83%. The highest reading is 99.0% on manifold, while the lowest is 57.6% on manifold — a spread of 41.4 percentage points. Total volume across 1 platform(s): $0.
How to read cross-platform spreads
When two platforms price the same event meaningfully differently, it usually means one of three things: liquidity is thin on one side, fee structures are pushing a spread, or traders on one platform have information the other lacks. Spreads larger than 5 percentage points on events with over $50K in volume often resolve toward the higher-volume platform's price.
About this data
Beeks.ai aggregates prediction market data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Updates run every minute. Consensus probability is a volume-weighted average across all matched markets. Historical snapshots are stored for calibration analysis.
News & context
Your edge calculator
Enter your own probability estimate to see expected value and recommended position size using the Kelly Criterion.