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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- yes Denzel Clarke: 1+,yes Joc Pederson: 1+,yes Luis Severino: 5+,yes Nathan Eovaldi: 6+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Texas,yes CHI Blackhawks,yes CAR Hurricanes,yes EDM Oilers,yes MIN Wild 1 platforms · —other
- yes A's,yes Los Angeles D,yes BUF Sabres,yes COL Avalanche,yes LA Kings,yes SJ Sharks 1 platforms · —other
- yes Carlos Cortes: 1+,yes Denzel Clarke: 1+,yes Jacob Wilson: 1+,yes Max Muncy: 1+,yes Shea Langeliers: 1+,yes Tyler Soderstrom: 1+,yes Brandon Nimmo: 1+,yes Corey Seager: 1+,yes Joc Pederson: 1+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Lorenzo Sonego,yes Barcelona,yes Karolina Muchova 1 platforms · —other
- yes Nick Kurtz: 1+,yes Corey Seager: 1+,yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Miami,yes Cleveland,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes TOR Maple Leafs 1 platforms · —other
- yes Miami,yes Minnesota,yes Andy Pages: 1+,yes Freddie Freeman: 1+,yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+,yes Francisco Lindor: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Justin Wrobleski: 2+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Miami,yes Phoenix wins by over 2.5 points,yes Over 204.5 points scored 1 platforms · —other
- yes Andy Pages: 1+,yes Max Muncy: 1+,yes Will Smith: 1+,yes Bo Bichette: 1+,yes Francisco Lindor: 1+,yes Freddie Freeman: 2+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 2+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 2+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Los Angeles D,yes BUF Sabres,yes EDM Oilers,yes SJ Sharks 1 platforms · —other
- yes BUF Sabres,yes COL Avalanche,yes TOR Maple Leafs,yes STL Blues 1 platforms · —other
- yes BUF Sabres,yes CAR Hurricanes,yes COL Avalanche,yes LA Kings,yes SJ Sharks 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Tomas Bjartur: The Last Prodigy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The Distaff Texts" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will David Jolly become Florida's next governor? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I do 5 pullups, and 25 push-ups on 50% of days until the end of April. 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Annoyingly Principled People, and what befall..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Morale" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Amsterdam high temperature exceed 18°C on 2026-04-16? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Deepseek V4 be released before June 1 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will any frontier LLM provider introduce a model explicitly optimized for aesthetic judgment or ‘taste’ in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Nectome have at least ten preserved humans by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Did most cryopreserved humans go 24 hours before cryopreservation? 1 platforms · —other
- Mandatory DNA synthesis screening law in the US by '27? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any more blockade be set up in international waters before June, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Nectome have a preservation center by the end of the year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a Nectome discount card sell for at least $60k before 2036? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Aurelia Song abandon Nectome before 2041? 1 platforms · —other
- Will at least 4 of Nectome's first 20 clients have significant damage? 1 platforms · —other
- In 2029, will at least 75% of Nectome clients be ideally preserved? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ro Khanna win Ca17? (Kalshi) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic publicly name a new Project Glasswing participant before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic open applications for its Cyber Verification Program before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Clavicular live longer than Zyzz did? 1 platforms · —other
- yes Orlando,yes Stephen Curry: 20+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 25+,yes Draymond Green: 4+,yes Kristaps Porziņģis: 6+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Francisco Cerundolo,yes Los Angeles A,yes Tampa Bay,yes Toronto,yes Los Angeles C,yes Philadelphia,yes DAL Stars,yes VGK Golden Knights 1 platforms · —other
- yes Randy Vásquez: 4+,yes Bennedict Mathurin: 10+,yes Al Horford: 4+,yes Bennedict Mathurin: 4+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Kristaps Porziņģis: 15+,yes Stephen Curry: 25+,yes Darius Garland: 15+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 25+,yes Paolo Banchero: 6+,yes Wendell Carter Jr.: 10+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Tampa Bay,yes Houston,yes Randy Vásquez: 2+,yes Emerson Hancock: 2+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Tyrese Maxey: 10+,yes Orlando,yes Desmond Bane: 30+,yes Paolo Banchero: 20+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Cal Raleigh: 1+,yes Brandon Nimmo: 1+,yes Corey Seager: 1+,yes Golden State 1 platforms · —other
- yes Arthur Fils,yes Lorenzo Musetti,yes Andrey Rublev,yes Francisco Cerundolo,yes Alexander Zverev,yes Flavio Cobolli,yes Joao Fonseca,yes Houston,yes San Diego,yes A's,yes Los Angeles D,yes Cleveland,yes Philadelphia,yes VGK Golden Knights,yes SJ Sharks,yes LA Kings,yes COL Avalanche,yes WPG Jets,yes EDM Oilers,yes Elisabetta Cocciaretto,yes Karolina Muchova,yes Coco Gauff,yes Hailey Baptiste,yes Leylah Fernandez,yes Mirra Andreeva,yes Elena Rybakina,yes Dominika Salkova,yes Sorana Cirstea 1 platforms · —other
- yes Al Horford: 2+,yes Draymond Green: 2+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 4+,no Los Angeles C wins by over 16.5 points 1 platforms · —other
- Will the folding iPhone include “iPhone” in the name? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I accept a travel stipend to attend a prediction markets event in Zurich in a month? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the White House drop more lofi beats? 1 platforms · —other