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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- yes Rafael Jodar,yes Cleveland,yes Pittsburgh,yes Detroit 1 platforms · —other
- yes Max Fried: 4+,yes Parker Messick: 4+,yes Sonny Gray: 3+,yes Dylan Cease: 4+,yes Michael King: 4+,yes Robbie Ray: 3+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Kyle Bradish: 3+,yes Max Fried: 3+,yes Parker Messick: 4+,yes Reid Detmers: 3+,no Baltimore wins by over 1.5 runs 1 platforms · —other
- yes Boston,yes Noah Schultz: 3+,yes Jacob Misiorowski: 5+,yes Michael King: 4+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Dylan Cease: 5+,yes Shota Imanaga: 4+,yes Jacob Misiorowski: 5+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Pittsburgh,yes Shohei Ohtani: 6+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Reid Detmers: 6+,yes Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Over 8.5 runs scored 1 platforms · —other
- yes Trent Grisham: 3+,yes Jo Adell: 3+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes New York Y,yes José Ramírez: 1+,yes Mike Trout: 1+,yes Max Fried: 7+,yes Aaron Judge: 2+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Rafael Jodar,yes New York Y,yes Boston,yes Chicago C,yes Miami,yes Detroit,yes Minnesota,yes COL Avalanche,yes Rickie Fowler 1 platforms · —other
- Will Austria finish in the top 10 of the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Democrats lock out the GOP out of the California Primary for Governor. 1 platforms · —other
- Will Microsoft add Google Gemini as a selectable model in Excel Agent Mode by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Iran acquire nuclear weapon by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Polymarket launch its official token in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- At the end of 2036, will the UK have routinely unarmed police officers? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Deno Deploy acknowledge the incidents of 13th of May 2026 on their status page? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Kash Patel still be FBI Director On 1st July 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Wes streeting announces resignation as Secretary of State for health and social care within 48 hours? 1 platforms · —other
- Will this coordination-metrics market get at least 3 unique traders in its first 24 hours? 1 platforms · —other
- Can anyone get talkie-1930 to describe Chomskian recursive syntax? 1 platforms · —other
- will al nassr win the saudi league 1 platforms · —other
- Xi JinPing visits USA before Sep 30? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a government shutdown before January 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be scientific consensus that Polynesians made Pre-Columbian contact with South Americans? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I have a date to prom 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will DeepSeek release a model named DeepSeek-R2 by May 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jose Luis Ricon live to see 600ppm 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ryan Cohen pull a bunch of shenanigans at eBay (without buying it)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US attack Cuba in the next 30 days? 1 platforms · —other
- Connectome of jumping spider or a Portia spider by 2031 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Gameoverse Pilot reach 25 million views by the end of June? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The Owned Ones" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Andy Burnham be an MP at the same time Keir Starmer is PM? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Duolingo launch a public Toki Pona course by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ciconia: When They Cry Phase 2 be released by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Flygon get a mega evolution by the end of 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Solana trade above $100 by the end of May 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a "Raymond" represent Indonesia to the IMO before 2043? 1 platforms · —other
- KHL finals: Lokomotiv vs Ak Bars 1 platforms · —other
- Will Polymarket IPO on December 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The Iliad Intensive Course Materials" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Germany pass a law that allows a weekly maximum working time of 48 hours per week before the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will SPY close above $737.62 on Friday, May 15, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will WHO classify the current hantavirus outbreak as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a 70+ page biography of Lada nuzhna by eoy2030 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Mechanize.work team have to hire bodyguards/bomb scanners by EOY2031? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I be able to build a bot that achieves #1 on the Gen 9 1v1 ladderboard on Pokemon Showdown before the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- China arranges for permanent Iran peace deal in exchange for Nvidia chips 1 platforms · —other