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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Isaak Freeman have a BIRTHDAY PARTY IN 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will I be promoted to Mana Gold by 12 am May 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Parmita Mishra win the Nobel prize by 2060? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Claude become a Pokèmon Master by the end of August 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- What % of Anthropic's IPO share price will the PreStocks Anthropic token trade at? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Maybe I was too harsh on deep learning theory..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will this self-referential market reach 50 unique traders before June 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I be alive at the end of 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I lose my current job by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will SF Prop D, June 2026, pass? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a Manifolder noticeably improve my life in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hampshire College be open in 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Lake Powell dip below elevation 3,490 ft, which is “minimum power pool” prior to May 1 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The Darwinian Honeymoon - Why I am not as imp..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any top-20 US or Canadian brokerage publicly endorse an open investing-agent standard by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US unilaterally restructure outstanding Treasury debt (coupon, maturity, swap) by December 31, 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Nvidia close above $225 on May 21, 2026 after earnings? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Scott Bessent leave the position of Secretary of Treasury by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "What I did in the hedonium shockwave, by Emma..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Xi Jingping visit US before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I have another peak moment in the next 5 years? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Iran directly fire missiles to any gulf countries before June? 1 platforms · —other
- Was playing in Rome a bad idea for Sinner in terms of his chances at the French Open? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my dahlia tuber sprout? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Many individual CEVs are probably quite bad" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- METR 80% time horizon exceeds 10h before September 1 platforms · —other
- Will any frontier lab be near-fully automated before 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I go to gym at least 3x a week for the rest of the May? 1 platforms · —other
- Will WTI close(or open) $108 in May 2026? (After May 10) 1 platforms · —other
- yes Cade Cunningham: 2+,yes Dennis Schröder: 2+,yes James Harden: 6+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 20+,yes Jarrett Allen: 10+,yes James Harden: 15+,yes Duncan Robinson: 10+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Cale Makar: 1+,yes Martin Necas: 1+,yes Kirill Kaprizov: 1+,yes Matt Boldy: 1+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Oneil Cruz: 1+,yes CJ Abrams: 1+,yes Bryce Harper: 1+,yes Matt Olson: 1+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Jarrett Allen: 10+,yes Cade Cunningham: 25+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+,yes Ausar Thompson: 6+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Adley Rutschman: 1+,yes Aaron Judge: 1+,yes Mike Trout: 1+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Luciano Darderi,yes Daniil Medvedev 1 platforms · —other
- yes $79,400 or above,yes Elena Rybakina 1 platforms · —other
- yes Alex Fitzpatrick,yes Brooks Koepka,yes Cameron Young,yes Ludvig Aberg,yes Rickie Fowler 1 platforms · —other
- yes Donovan Mitchell: 2+,yes Cade Cunningham: 30+,yes Jalen Duren: 6+,yes Detroit wins by over 4.5 points 1 platforms · —other
- yes Austin Hedges: 1+,yes Jo Adell: 1+,yes Mike Trout: 1+,yes Sebastián Rivero: 1+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Donovan Mitchell: 4+,yes Dennis Schröder: 2+,yes Cade Cunningham: 8+,yes Tobias Harris: 2+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 20+,yes Evan Mobley: 10+,yes James Harden: 15+,yes Ausar Thompson: 10+,yes Duncan Robinson: 10+,yes Jalen Duren: 10+,yes Evan Mobley: 6+,yes Jarrett Allen: 6+,yes Ausar Thompson: 6+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Cleveland,yes Baltimore,yes Aaron Judge: 1+,yes Mike Trout: 1+,yes Aaron Judge: 2+,yes José Ramírez: 1+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Bobby Witt Jr.: 1+,yes Nick Kurtz: 1+,yes Tobias Harris: 1+,yes Evan Mobley: 10+,yes James Harden: 15+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Mitch Keller: 4+,yes Jake Irvin: 4+,yes James Harden: 15+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Espanyol,yes Villarreal,yes PSG,yes Strasbourg Alsace,yes Elena Rybakina 1 platforms · —other
- yes Duncan Robinson: 1+,yes James Harden: 6+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 20+,yes Jarrett Allen: 10+,yes James Harden: 20+,yes Duncan Robinson: 10+,yes Jalen Duren: 10+,yes Tobias Harris: 15+,yes Jarrett Allen: 4+,yes Ausar Thompson: 6+,yes Jalen Duren: 8+,yes Tobias Harris: 6+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Cincinnati,yes Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs,yes Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs 1 platforms · —other
- yes Anthony Edwards: 1+,yes James Harden: 6+,yes Cade Cunningham: 8+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 20+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 35+,yes Jarrett Allen: 8+,yes Rudy Gobert: 6+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 12+,yes Over 218.5 points scored 1 platforms · —other
- yes Jose Quintana: 2+,yes Mitch Keller: 4+,yes Andrew Painter: 3+,yes Dylan Cease: 5+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Cade Cunningham: 2+,yes Jarrett Allen: 10+,yes Ausar Thompson: 7+ 1 platforms · —other