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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will the NASDAQ crash before Aug 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Christian Eriksen announce retirement by EOM June 1 platforms · —other
- US in control of Chagos Islands by end of 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get docked on ELMO? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get a 32768 tile in 2048 at MOP 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I witness a fight during any of my travels to Switzerland in a month? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be another Mars 2112 restaurant opened by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Pope Leo XIV speak publicly about the SSPX Episcopal consecrations before they occur on July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any 2026 World Cup match be disrupted by security or weather? 1 platforms · —other
- Will June 2026 U.S. average hourly earnings rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? 1 platforms · —other
- Pokemon Mega Ev Ascended Heroes: Will we unpack a card worth >$8.99 raw at Manifest (2 packs) [+Prizes] 1 platforms · —other
- Will going to Manifest cause me to dramatically increase my usage of manifold markets? 1 platforms · —other
- Both teams happy with a draw? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a new country join NATO before 1 January 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will May 2026 U.S. job openings be at least 7.5 million? 1 platforms · —other
- Will May 2026 U.S. construction spending be at least $2.18T SAAR? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any western country deny women the vote in the 21st century? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Alok Singh, Nate Bottman, Ryan Alweiss, or Elliot Glazer ever win the Alternative Fields Medal? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a second bird species (not eurasian magpie) be marked as passing the mirror test by EOY2030? 1 platforms · —other
- will alok singh have a birthday party in 2026 1 platforms · —other
- will JOSE LUIS RICON donate to shrimp welfare project by2040 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jose Luis Ricon be NFT'd by EOY2032? 1 platforms · —other
- Will AMM 2026 release scores next week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ghana finish in the top 2 of their World Cup group? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Switzerland win Group B of the 2026 World Cup? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the SSPX catholics incur excommunications in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Brent crude oil settle at or above $100/barrel on any trading day before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Dissolving the Deep Learning Sample Efficienc..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the S&P500 be down greater than 1% in a week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Scotland finish in the top 2 of their World Cup group? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I resolve this as yes or no? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get a hard conversation with my Math coach at beginning of next schoolyear? 1 platforms · —other
- Will June 2026 U.S. new home sales be at least 650,000 (SAAR)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Based Bodyworks announce Based Condoms by EOY 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I still be sad by EOY2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any psychedelic be rescheduled from Schedule I before January 1, 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any major conference issue a ban on scheduling games with Texas Tech as a result of the Sorsby situation in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Brendan Sorsby play a snap for Texas Tech during the 2026 season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Claude Fable 5 be a accessible in a Claude max 20x subscription on June 23 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will June 2026 U.S. durable goods orders rise at least 1.0% month-over-month? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The Machines Lack Honour" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Graham Platner and Susan Collins debate? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Doctors Without Borders report 16,767,670 outpatient consultations in its 2026 International Activity Report? 1 platforms · —other
- Will EXACTLY 2 of the following people (@jatloe, @DottedCalculator, @121, @E142) bet on this market by resolve date? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Berkshire Hathaway outperform S&P 500 in June? 1 platforms · —other
- Will somebody perform an assassination attempt on Mark Zuckerberg before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will owning a self driving car become cheaper than driving yourself due to insurance before 2035? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Sequent: scale and automation for higher conf..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Even "illegible" Mythos reasoning traces seem..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other