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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will the U.S. and Iran announce a new ceasefire agreement before September 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the ICP Dashboard show at least 3,367,670 ICP holders on March 28, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- XRP BELOW $1 THIS WEEK? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I (McPqndq) reach IGM on Codeforces before the 2026 ICPC World Finals. 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Estimating No-CoT Task-Completion Time Horizo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my "Be My Fashion Consultant" event at Manifest cause me to acquire at least two clothing items that excite me? 1 platforms · —other
- will judge judy reach 100 years old? 1 platforms · —other
- Is Anime For Kids? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Machinic Psychopharmacology: Do LLMs Self-Med..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be another Div. 4 in Codeforces before July 1st 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Sunshine Protection Act or permanent DST become law by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I beat Predictle in 1 turn TWICE by 7/7/26? (First time I won in 1 turn today does not count!) 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be 4 hat tricks in the World Cup? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the UK win Eurovision before England wins the World Cup? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be widespread fuel shortages in Moscow city before 1 December 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- This market resolves to whatever you persuade me to. 1 platforms · —other
- Why Grind for Hours When Wowvendor Can Get You Wow Gold in Minutes? 1 platforms · —other
- Will we discover a fourth transmissible mammal cancer by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- time and location of signing ceremony for us iran deal announced this week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will al-aqsa mosque be destroyed by Jews 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jews destroy Al-Aqsa Mosque 1 platforms · —other
- Will I still have a notable injury to my left knee after a year 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a drone emoji before 2032? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Christopher Nolan have a new film release in 2027 or 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any the weights for any new Qwen Model >=100B parameters release before 2027 1 platforms · —other
- Will "PSA: Almost nobody is working on alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Serena Williams play singles at Wimbledon 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Starmer out before December? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded for a trade package including 6 or more draft picks(1st and 2nd rounders included)? 1 platforms · —other
- What will Claude Fable 5 score on ARC-AGI-3? 1 platforms · —other
- Will June 2026 U.S. capacity utilization be at least 76.5%? 1 platforms · —other
- At least 3 different songs will reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 between June 14, 2026 and July 26, 2026 (7/26/26). 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Sympathy for both sides of the egregious misa..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Elliott Lehrer and Caroline Ellison go on a date in June? 1 platforms · —other
- Will May 2026 U.S. business inventories rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? 1 platforms · —other
- Will England become a US state before 2045? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Wales become a US state before 2045? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the World Cup winner be decided off of penalty kicks? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 for US customers by the end of June? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Fable be reenabled for Americans before June 20? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Jews admit that they control the weather before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will someone streak during the World Cup 2026 final match? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the World Cup winner be a country from Europe? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic have KYC for customers before June 22? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic remove the data retention rule on Fable 5 before July? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US and Iran formally sign a peace agreement before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic legally challenge the US government directive to suspend access to Fable? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Fable be reenabled for Europeans before July 1? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Claude Fable 5 be re-enabled for Non-Americans before July 1st, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic substatially reduce its London office size? 1 platforms · —other