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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Robinhood still be offering prediction markets in 2027 1 platforms · —other
- Will Baltimore "happen" for the DC policy crowd before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the New York Jets win the 2026 Super Bowl? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a data center on the planet Venus by 2127? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Furnace Creek, Death Valley record a high temperature of at least 129.0°F by September 28, 2026 (9/28/26)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I still be active on Manifold in 1 year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will someone manigram me 500 mana? 1 platforms · —other
- Will temperatures in Berlin, Germany, reach 40°C this summer? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US government introduce any domestic restrictions on open-weight LLMs by EOY 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the County of Los Angeles Department of Public Health's website support HTTPS before the end of 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Glosso IPO By 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Claude Fable 5 be API Pricing Only when public access returns? 1 platforms · —other
- Macron va-t-il être destitué ? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Parkinson's Heuristic: The Only Time To Do An..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Un référendum officiel sera-t-il organisé par au moins un État membre de l’AES avant le 31 déUn référendum cembre 2027 ? 1 platforms · —other
- Will July 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? 1 platforms · —other
- Average IMDB rating for House of the Dragon Season 3 ≥ Season 2? 1 platforms · —other
- Will SpaxeX stock price reach $300 at any point before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will ASI say jim’s true preference is not to change his personality at all? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Americans or China get to the Moon By 2030 1 platforms · —other
- Anthropic above 10T valuation on June 14 2027 1 platforms · —other
- Werden Robert und Leni auf KlauTa noch zusammenkommen? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Stellaris 2 be released before 2031? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic release the system card of a model at a new frontier of intellegence by August 31st? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic’s GAAP Net Income be Higher in fiscal year 2026 than fiscal year 2025? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I go to church next Sunday? (Today I'll watch REV Church, Vista, CA on YouTube. I went last week.) 1 platforms · —other
- Will I make USA TST Group 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "How well do models follow their constitutions?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I drop out of undergrad? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I drop 4.4 pounds in 111 hours and 11 minutes? (I'm 313.0 and down 13 lbs. in 5 weeks.) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Tetra grow ill on this trip to China? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "American Government Takes Down Claude Fable" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Toy Story 5 gross $162.5M or more domestically in its opening weekend? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Backrooms be nominated for an Oscar in any category? 1 platforms · —other
- Will TSMC exceed Nvidia in market capitalization at any point before 2032? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Jackass: Best and Last" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weeken 1 platforms · —other
- Will I reach a streak of 1000? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Z win the 2026 Fields Medal? 1 platforms · —other
- jalalive 1 platforms · —other
- Will the number of U.S. Supreme Court Justices confirmed between June 15, 2026 and January 20, 2029 be at least one? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Solana be higher exactly a week from now? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my account be restricted or removed by Monday, June 22? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Micron (MU) close at least 10% above its June 24, 2026 regular-session close by the end of June 25, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jack Ceroni win the fields medal? 1 platforms · —other
- Will commercial nuclear fusion exist in April of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Microsoft close or divest itself of Rare in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the price of silver exceed $70 at the end of june 1 platforms · —other
- Does Saudi Arabia normalize with Israel before December 31 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Game Recognizes Game" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other