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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Mbappé break Messi’s goal record in this wc ? 1 platforms · —other
- When re-enabled, will Fable require verification via government ID? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the U.S. Gini coefficient (FRED series GINIALLRH) be lower in 2025 than in 2024? 1 platforms · —other
- Will JasonMendoza2008 manage to make 1000 profit solely market making before the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a commenter post a link to a video showing Micah Lasher doing a magic trick? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Papyrus appear in Deltarune? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "What is up with e/acc?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will we get asi before dwarf fortress 1.0? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the June 2026 Venezuela earthquakes have a confirmed death toll of 2,000+ by Aug 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be found a language whose phonology is provably outside IOTSL level of subregular complexity, by EOY 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Anti-Social Press reach 100 combined Amazon reviews by the end June 30, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Surprising facts about the slave trade" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any CSTO member state successfully invoke Article 4 in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be another earthquake rating 7.0 or above in Japan within the next 7 days? 1 platforms · —other
- Discovered The Ting Tings. Will I get tired of "That's Not My Name" by 7/27/27? 1 platforms · —other
- Here 33 days. This is my 112th proposition. Will I reach 200 propositions by 7/26/26? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26? 1 platforms · —other
- Will GPT 5.6 Sol be 700+ tok/s on Cerebras when released to the public? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic require ID verification in order to use Fable 5? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an exoplanet (or exomoon) be named after Jacob Rintamaki by 2070? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a movie win the 'best musical' academy award before the end of May 2033? 1 platforms · —other
- I'll be attending San Diego Comic-Con on Sunday. Will I spend more than $222.22 on merch? 1 platforms · —other
- Palm Beach Pete is Jeffery Epstein 1 platforms · —other
- Will Apple source memory chips from a Chinese supplier before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Nagpur Escorts Service & Local Nagpur Call Girls 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mohamed Salah play in the World Cup Round of 16? 1 platforms · —other
- Silver price under $69 in July 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Silver price above $90 in July 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Colombia defeat Portugal? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Colorado Rockies lose 98 or more games this season? 1 platforms · —other
- @ 5:30 am PDT today my Chatterbox score is 111. Will it reach 333 by August 1, 2026 (8/1/26)? 1 platforms · —other
- will IMO(math) 2026 problem 1 day 1 is a geometry? 1 platforms · —other
- will ayan nayak jmo qual in the big 27 1 platforms · —other
- Will the CCP block the release of an LLM from a Chinese lab prior to 2028 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Chicago White Sox finish the 2026 regular season with a better record than the Cleveland Guardians? 1 platforms · —other
- If Chelsea Voss were to 1v1 Martin Shkreli in OffWorld Trading Company, would she win? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a meteor hit earth tomorrow? 1 platforms · —other
- Will GPT-6 be released before the end of October 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Before 2035, will evidence indicate BPC-157’s side effects make it not-recommended for musculoskeletal injury recovery? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I run across someone I consider a celebrity at San Diego Comic-Con besides Lou Ferrigno? (I have before.) 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US force ASML to halt exports to China before 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- An open weight model beats Opus 4.7 by EOY26 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Democratic Nominee in 2028 say “genocide”? 1 platforms · —other
- 777JILI 1 platforms · —other
- Will Sara seager live to see an interstellar probe visit any star (esp proxima or alpha centauri)? 1 platforms · —other
- 2026 release of Order of the Sinking Star 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Rams, Bills, Ravens, or Packers win Super Bowl LXI? 1 platforms · —other
- Will X have a prediction market feature before 2030? 1 platforms · —other