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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will I ever fall sleep before midnight during PROMYS? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mitch McConnell outlive Ben Sasse? 1 platforms · —other
- Top OSWorld 2.0 score by end of 2027 1 platforms · —other
- Will Manifold create an actual Manifold Mobile App before July 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I reach 15 followers before august? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I be placed within a league before august? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Swift Boost Mission be a success ? 1 platforms · —other
- We get Gemini 4 Pro before GTA 6 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mitch McConnell speak this year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Razib Khan, gwern, and Sigil Wen all dance gangnam style by EOY2045? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ben Sasse be alive to see GTA6? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mitch McConnell be alive to see GTA6? 1 platforms · —other
- Will July 2026 be the hottest July London, UK has ever seen? 1 platforms · —other
- Will nicholas decker have a girlfriend by EOY2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Lebron James sign within the next week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I will Nash Pit (episode two)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the North Korean delegation attend IMO 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I rank #170 in number of markets created on August 11 (8/11/26)? (I'm #200 as of this morning.) 1 platforms · —other
- If Count Binface wins in Clacton in 2026, will Nigel Farage be in parliament a year later? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US reimpose a blockade on Iran by the end of July 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Cyberpunk 2 release before the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the DJIA go below 50,000 by August 1 (8/1/26)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Israel attack Iran in July 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "SFF is very suboptimal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Yes versus No 1 platforms · —other
- ¿Se anularán o suspenderán definitivamente las elecciones de la FUSM 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will either Messi, Ronaldo, or Neymar play in the 2030 World Cup? 1 platforms · —other
- ARG government shutdown before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Mmd 1 platforms · —other
- Will Count Binface (Jonathan David Harvey) become an MP by 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Manifold reduce slop markets before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Eric Chen get a Gold Medal on IChO? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be more shenanigans during Nash Pit Episode 2 than Nash Pit Episode 3, in my opinion? 1 platforms · —other
- Graham Platner divorced by EOY 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- ChatGPT 6 Before GTA 6? 1 platforms · —other
- Will SPY's July 2026 closing price be higher than its July 2026 opening price? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mitch McConnell make a verifiable, live public appearance before August 3, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Lewandowski to score in first match playing for Chicago Fire? 1 platforms · —other
- Will lavos of Vandyland make it out of the program before he gets kicked? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Bun's number of open issues will be lower by the end of year 1 platforms · —other
- Will Firmus IPO in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will shebe maburna be out before December 1 platforms · —other
- BNB7月能达到1000吗？ 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Rays lead the AL East by over 3.0 games AND the Yankees trade for an All-Star by July 31? 1 platforms · —other
- I will be able to purchase an Apple folding phone at an Apple store before September 30, 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Filpo ser expulso hoje 1 platforms · —other
- Will Penn outlive Teller? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I like the New Oxford Annotated Bible Sixth Edition? 1 platforms · —other
- This is my 47th day. I have 16 referrals to Manifold Markets. Will I have 20 by August 4, 2026 (8/4/26)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will hardmaru win the Japan’s Order of the Rising Sun? 1 platforms · —other