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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will any market in this tournament reach 100+ traders? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I reach 5k unique traders by EOY? 1 platforms · —other
- SBF records another podcast from prison by EOY? 1 platforms · —other
- Will manifoldmarkets/manifold PR #3949 merge before October? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a sequel to Sophie's World be written by 2040? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the invite be nominated for best director for Olivia wilde? 1 platforms · —other
- TM SIM Registration: Everything You Need to Know Before Registering Your SIM 1 platforms · —other
- Will the ratio of males to females in the United States exceed 1.05:1 before 2055? 1 platforms · —other
- 5% more men than women in the US by 2055? 1 platforms · —other
- photo booth software 1 platforms · —other
- Will a bot win the Metaculus Summer Cup 1 platforms · —other
- Will Texas run out of water before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Did Russia assassinate Lindsey Graham? 1 platforms · —other
- Will England advance to the 2026 World Cup Final over Argentina? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Merle Streep and Martin Short get married in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Which number model will Anthropic be on by EOY? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any person who appears on the ballot as a republican win a citywide office in the District of Columbia? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I write for >half the time that I read this month? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a restaurant in Berkeley get a Michelin star before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- England vs India ODI series (July 2026) 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The easiest pathway to control is through exe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- 2027 UCL Chmpion F.C. Barcelona？ 1 platforms · —other
- will there be a walmart within nyc city limits by the end of 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- US-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket] 1 platforms · —other
- Wird Marcant einer Debatte mit Martin Sellner zustimmen? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Novig become a unicorn by EOY? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the CDC identify a single confirmed food source for the current U.S. cyclosporiasis outbreak before end of July? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Connor McDavid join the maple leafs once his contract runs out? (2027-2028) 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The Whitney Biennial Should Admit That Emilie..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Our response to Séb Krier on Plan A" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the price of Brent crude oil reach $100 by end of July 30? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Digger" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend 1 platforms · —other
- Will U.S. interstate-trade hub centrality survive COVID? (H1-P, 2017→2022) 1 platforms · —other
- Andy Burnham Prime Minister longer than Boris Johnson? 1 platforms · —other
- Did pharma's trade network reorganize more than agriculture's under COVID? (H3-P, 2017→2022) 1 platforms · —other
- Luck or discipline? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be any Chinese Fable-level models by March 2027, defined as a model with an ECI score of 160 or higher? 1 platforms · —other
- will anyone from elasticity.institute win nobel prize in economics by EOY2040? 1 platforms · —other
- The Odyssey rating on Rotten Tomatoes after 1 month... 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a confirmed case of Cyclosporiasis in ALL 48 US contiguous states before the end of August 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The AFFINE Superintelligence Alignment Semina..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I like the Poetic Edda? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Everton sign a new RB before the start of the season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will IBM end positive at the end of the week? 1 platforms · —other
- China wins the world cup by 2050 1 platforms · —other
- United States wins the world cup by 2050 1 platforms · —other
- If Opus 5 is released by EOM, will it out-benchmark Fable 5? 1 platforms · —other
- DeepSeek IPO before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mikel Oyarzabal score a goal in the World Cup Final? 1 platforms · —other