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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will i get more than 41 traders on my other market? 1 platforms · —other
- Will GiveWell approve ≥$800M in grants in its 2026 grant year (Feb 2026–Jan 2027)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy) direct ≥$1.5B in grants in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will G2 beat KC on July 26th? 1 platforms · —other
- Bsbsns 1 platforms · —other
- The maximum temperature in Davis, CA wil reach 99.0°F on at least two individual calendar days from July 23 to August 2. 1 platforms · —other
- JiliKK 1 platforms · —other
- I will build a split keyboard by EOY 1 platforms · —other
- Will Daniel Ortega lose power in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Gukesh be board 1 for India at Olympiad? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ronaldo retire above the age of 43? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "How big is the Sun? How could you figure it out?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Practical Learnings from Synthetic Document F..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- CoreWeave stock price reaches 150 USD by EOY 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Drone WMDs Don’t Need Any New Technology" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Artemis V launch by June 1, 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Manifold Markets implement one of my suggestions by Midnight Pacific Time, December 23, 2026? (12/23/26) 1 platforms · —other
- Will front-month ICE Brent settle ≥ $100 on 5 Aug 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an Anthropic model autonomously hack an external entity in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will @she_llac be mentioned in Apple's security patch notes before the end of this year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi] 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hasan wear his Mao / Chinese suit at another public event by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Intel Stock (INTC) reach $150 in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the United Kingdom be a member of the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization before end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "We should push for no-fault liability for act..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Larry the Cat outlast Andy Burnham's Prime Minister tenure? 1 platforms · —other
- Andy Burnham to announce wealth tax before December 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Are we existentially threatened by the type o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get a higher grade than קרני at חדוא 2 1 platforms · —other
- Will Harry Kane Win The Golden Boots 1 platforms · —other
- Will Republicans hold the House at any point between 2028 and 2035? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I fly to ESPR? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I travel 500 miles away from home by December 31, 2027? (Not counting today. Google says I'm 496 miles from home.) 1 platforms · —other
- Will San Francisco voters pass the "reopen the Great Highway" ballot measure in 2026 1 platforms · —other
- On May 1st 2028 will the highest grossing movie of all time in the USA be a Star Wars film? 1 platforms · —other
- O Sacanas passará para a semis na 7ª edição da Copa Gosa? 1 platforms · —other
- A 7ª Copa Gosa terá um campeão inédito ou não? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Lightcone Commons" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Na 7ª Copa Gosa terá briga entre jogadores ou não? 1 platforms · —other
- Bruninho irá perder pênalti na 7ª edição da Copa Gosa? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I face a foul fate for the folly of foraging forays in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will more than 8 bots trade on this market in the next week 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get my licence in time for my flight ? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any driver competing in the WRC2 Championship outscore a WRC driver in the WRC Championship? 1 platforms · —other
- Burnham recieves a cabinet minister resignation in 2026 1 platforms · —other
- What day will I next log on to manifold markets in 2026*? See description. 1 platforms · —other
- Will a Mythos-tier-at-cybersecurity open-source model be released before end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Does the actions of Israel in West Bank and Gaza are inhuman? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an Atlantic hurricane form on or before August 20, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Title: Will DDR DRAM exceed 32 Gbit per-die density before 2029? 1 platforms · —other