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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will someone prove Empty in bend2 within 48 hours of its launch? 1 platforms · —other
- Will YonKaGor make a cover of "Isn't She Lovely" by EOY 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- BH999 Bangladesh | Best Online Betting & Casino Platform 1 platforms · —other
- Will "…but have the weights left the server?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Iran strike US military base at least once in August? 1 platforms · —other
- Gold is 31 July above 4150$ or no 1 platforms · —other
- Will Merz be German chancellor on Jan 1, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I become a moderator? 1 platforms · —other
- Will someone in "dama iipeikou" newly solve Project Euler 696 before the end of this year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "I think alignment work is more promising than..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I outperform the market by individually picking/trading stocks? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I make MOP 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Anthony Fauci deceased before January 1st 2028 1 platforms · —other
- Will a new US-Iran ceasefire take effect before October 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Liberal-National Coalition lead One Nation in the polls at the end of August 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Did gold will hit 4150 today 31 july 1 platforms · —other
- Mishustin out as Prime Minister of Russia by end of 2026 1 platforms · —other
- 11kk Bangladesh | Best Online Betting & Live Casino Platform 1 platforms · —other
- Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children? 1 platforms · —other
- GTA 6 release before next Rihanna album? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be 3 or more total goals scored in regular time in the 2026 FA Community Shield? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I finish reading the Iliad by the 3rd of August? 1 platforms · —other
- lv18 Bangladesh – Official Online Casino & Betting Platform 1 platforms · —other
- Was Paul Biya alive July 30, noon UTC (see description)? 1 platforms · —other
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" biggest opening weekend of all time? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Situational Awareness be bigger than Citadel by EOY 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will AWS S3 globally have more downtime 2027 than 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the S&P 500 close above 5,000 on the last trading day of August 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Polymarket has some METR time horizon market before EOY 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a multi-agent system have its time horizon evaluated by METR before EOY 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Apple stock go up? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a successful legal challenge to the US tariffs on Brazil that started July 22 1 platforms · —other
- Will @Parallax have a baby by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Anticipated release of Epstein files still a thing in first half of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I be jobless at some point before end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I attend Citadel (a Hack Club hackathon)? 1 platforms · —other
- MedHub USA | Trusted Online Pharmacy in the USA 1 platforms · —other
- Will anyone from fr8 become thiel fellow by 2029 1 platforms · —other
- will beswin turn gay before gta 6 1 platforms · —other
- Will GPT-6 be called "Astra"? 1 platforms · —other
- 7j777 Bangladesh | Online Gaming Platform 1 platforms · —other
- Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death? 1 platforms · —other
- Will anybody born before 2000 live to be 150? 1 platforms · —other
- Do LLMs experience qualia? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio? 1 platforms · —other
- Above human scores on ARC-AGI-3 in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Gukesh win the 2026 World Chess Championship? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I have a baby by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other