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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040? 1 platforms · —other
- Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- [READ DESCRIPTION] Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [Polymarket] 1 platforms · —other
- Will SPX (SP500) be > 10,000 on 2030-01-01 ? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia? 1 platforms · —other
- Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be WW3 before 2045? 1 platforms · —other
- Will we get fusion reactors before 2038? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035? 1 platforms · —other
- Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- [ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines? 1 platforms · —other
- Will P vs NP be resolved before man lands on Mars? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(6) be known before 2075? 1 platforms · —other
- Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Do we live in a simulation? 1 platforms · —other
- Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will humans born between 1990-2000 be able to live for 150 years? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years? 1 platforms · —other
- Is Lumina probiotics a scam? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- By 2050, will there be a cure to aging? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania? 1 platforms · —other
- 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨ 1 platforms · —other
- Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will working be necessary in 2070? 1 platforms · —other
- Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander? 1 platforms · —other
- Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet? 1 platforms · —other
- Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040? 1 platforms · —other
- Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025? 1 platforms · —other
- [ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will GPT6 release before GTA6? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky? 1 platforms · —other
- Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Zoro kill/defeat a Gorosei? 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Odyssey (2026) be Christopher Nolan's highest grossing film at the domestic box office? 1 platforms · —other
- Will MP (the original creator) consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Aella (the original creator) have a baby by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Vinicius Junior sign for Arsenal? 1 platforms · —other