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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Free Lottery (black hole in universe) 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The Brink Of War" earn more than $20M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Nicholas Funk vs PSA RICO lawsuit get dismissed? 1 platforms · —other
- Looking for the Best Graphic Designing in Ludhiana? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Haley Stevens endorse Abdul El-Sayed by Sunday? 1 platforms · —other
- What advantages does the Greenluck platform offer new users compared to other services? 1 platforms · —other
- How safe is it to use poker solvers to analyze your game, and where is the line between learning and breaking the rules? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic release custom chips for Claude by the end of 2028 1 platforms · —other
- Will Grok 4.6 be released by August 15th 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% or more below its all-time high by April 2, 2027? (4/2/27) 1 platforms · —other
- Will the podium of the 2026 Tour de France Femmes be Demi, Marlen, Kasia in some order? 1 platforms · —other
- Outcome of India vs Sri Lanka Test series (Aug 2026) 1 platforms · —other
- Will a high-surf advisory be issued for the Orange County or San Diego coastline between August 6 and August 26, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Google (GOOGL) close higher on August 31? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Meta (META) close higher on August 31? 1 platforms · —other
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close higher on August 31? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Oilrats reach 250k subscribers by the end of August? 1 platforms · —other
- El-Sayed comdemn or disavow Hasan Piker before midterms? 1 platforms · —other
- Free Lottery (isotropic universe) 1 platforms · —other
- S&P 500 closes above $7,800 on August 14? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic release a new line of models by the end of the year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will models be more or less aligned one year from now? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Google acqi-hire Mechanize by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Google conventionally acquire Mechanize by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will open-source models be more or less aligned one year from now? 1 platforms · —other
- Will closed-source models be more or less aligned one year from now? 1 platforms · —other
- Will BioAge's BGE-102 achieve its primary endpoint in the Phase 2 QUELL-CV trial before January 1, 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the player that scores the first TD in the HoF game also score a TD in the regular season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Google Gemini hack a company during testing before Gemini 3.5 Pro gets released? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Transnistria dissolve by EOY 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a named storm threaten the Florida coast on Labor Day (Sep 5-7) Weekend? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be another GWWC donor lottery with a draw date before the end of February 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Javadoodles reach 3 million subscribers on Youtube by the end of 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Liechtenstein continue to exist as an independent state in 2035? 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Beatles' Carnival of Light be released or leaked before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get a clear picture of the eclipse? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any of these high profile people offically endorse Francesca Hong? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Barack Obama participate in a rally for Abdul El Sayed? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Claude Opus 4.6 have more than 2,500 Manifold Mana by August 13, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- If Opus 4.6 can pay back its loan, will it? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Democratic Primary for governor by 10.00% or more? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a hurricane make landfall in the continental U.S. before October 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will SCOTUS strike down Alaska’s “$95,000 plane for 6 beers” forfeiture? 1 platforms · —other
- Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China's total datacenter power capacity surpass the US before 2031? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Yudkowsky be offered VP of US nomination? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Javadoodles have 1M followers on instagram by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- @Primer will reach a streak of 2000 1 platforms · —other
- Will RAY post reviews of at least five Scott Alexander essays before EOY? 1 platforms · —other