Live Odds
Other Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will my this market post cross 5Ok Mana mark? (THIS ONE) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Daniel R. Simon's “A Polynomial-Time Quantum Algorithm for the Dihedral Coset Problem” proven wrong? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Magic the Gathering movie make over 450 million at the global box office? 1 platforms · —other
- Will perpetual markets become a permanent feature of Manifold? 1 platforms · —other
- We discover that the US had an earthquake-producing weapon by EOY 2030 1 platforms · —other
- Will LLMs improve any major aspect of the Riemann hypothesis by EOY 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- High score on ExploitGym >= 70% by EOY 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will weights for Muse Spark 1.2 be released by end of August 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the clob strapi integration work? 1 platforms · —other
- Will $BTC reach $1700 by January 4? 1 platforms · —other
- Gemini 3.5 Flash trades for a profit by the end of the month? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the avg. sea level rise by more than 1km by tomorrow? (Apocalypse Hedging) 1 platforms · —other
- Nimitz Record 2026 0-10 1 platforms · —other
- Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Nilered publish a video about turning Lead into Gold by the end of 2035? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the cheapest 32GB DDR5 kit still cost $500+ at the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I publish a LessWrong post on the Doomsday Argument this week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I regret investing $500 into my startup? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my trend weight be above 197.7 lb on September 9? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a second US state impose a statewide pause on new data centers in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Marbula One Season 7 start in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will AOC ever give birth? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the first Neutron rocket launch be a success ? 1 platforms · —other
- Gout Gout ever Diagnosed with Gout? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the 2026 Vuelta a Espana have 21 stages with a winner? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hal win the Qatar GP? 1 platforms · —other
- Will at least 10 drivers finish the race? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ghost score 7 or more points? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the ready up command from Jeff happen before 9:05pm est? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jeff finish on the podium? 1 platforms · —other
- Will French journalist Christophe Gleizes be pardoned or released from Algerian detention before December 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I become overweight within 2 months? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Magic Kingdom have a fireworks show every night from August 12 to September 10?” 1 platforms · —other
- Will Bashar al-Assad's death sentence be carried out? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I read 50+ books this year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Rafe de Crespigny reach age 95? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Primetime" earn more than $23M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening we 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ava get an abortion before 2028 1 platforms · —other
- Will at least 1,000 people irregularly enter Ceuta from Morocco on 15 August 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will someone that had a merge request merged in the official CPython repository comment on this market? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Romania’s Cernavoda Nuclear Power Plant be shut down for more than seven consecutive days? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Fion become a mod before reaching a 1,461 day streak? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an open-source model with dangerous capabilities differentially unlearned be released by EOY 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Kash Patel gone as FBI Director before EOY 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Chris Luxon NZ Prime Minister on 1 Feb 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Schumer gone before Jeffries? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Marco Rubio serve as Secretary of State until Jan 20th 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Justin Trudeau and Katy Perry announces they are engaged by EOY 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Lady Gaga announce she’s performing in New Zealand before EOY 2027? 1 platforms · —other