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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will I get a refund on my US tax return 1 platforms · —other
- Will iDenfy leak user identification data by 2027-12-31? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Delcy Rodríguez increase Venezuela's minimum wage above 40,000 VES by May 1st, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Apple release a new iMac before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Aleph Alpha and Cohere merge in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a named tropical cyclone make landfall in Delaware, Maryland, or Virginia between June 1 and November 30? 1 platforms · —other
- Will manifolders think that the ID verification for new users should be reversed? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Do not be surprised if LessWrong gets hacked" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the next Minecraft April Fools' Version feature a change to the hotbar or one or more dimensions? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be any new driver on podium in F1 Miami Grand Prix race, other than those who were on the podium during 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I pass all 3 of my A-Levels this year? 1 platforms · —other
- will I be in masters league in every season in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Do you think Sabrina Carpenter’s “House Tour (Official Video)” will cross 20M YouTube views before April 2026 ends? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I appear on TBPN in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Max Verstappen race in 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will MNX hit $100m in volume 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will MNX have $1m in volume before September 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the ID verification requirement for new users be reversed? 1 platforms · —other
- will my company allow me to work remote? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The effects of caffeine consumption do not de..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I win a prize in the prize drawing? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a second Manifold Prize Drawing in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Javokhir Sindarov break the record for most points in the FIDE candidates tournament? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- goog ath april? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the current US x Iran ceasefire hold? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Devil Wears Prada 2 debut with a Rotten Tomatoes Critic Score > 75%? 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Mandalorian and Grogu (May 22) beat The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s $130.9M opening weekend? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Apple's foldable iPhone be called 'iPhone Ultra'? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Wizzrobe ever win another Major? (Melee) 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be any kinetic action between India and Pakistan by the end of May 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on June 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Sm2Co17 sintered magnet (Western) commercial price exceed 500 USD/kg on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 25 USD/kg on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China October 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China July 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hollywood release an Iran F-15E rescue mission movie by the end of 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- LUCK8 1 platforms · —other
- Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- S&P 500 increases on 8 April 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Comcast/Xfinity partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027? 1 platforms · —other
- will I make FNCS 1 platforms · —other
- S&p500 all time high close in April? 1 platforms · —other
- Will US rhenium net import reliance exceed 82% in the year ending December 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 48 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will APR (ammonium perrhenate) Rotterdam price exceed 8000 USD/kg on March 31, 2028? 1 platforms · —other