Live Odds
Politics Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- If Keir Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister in 2026, will Labour win the next UK general election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Barron Trump graduate from NYU Stern School of Business? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will President Paul Biya of Cameroon appoint a Vice President before April 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Democratic Trifecta in 2028? (Win House, Senate and Presidency) 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Larry Johnson's claim that Trump requested access to nuclear codes in a recent meeting about Iran be corroborated? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will William Trachman be confirmed by the Senate as Ambassador to Tanzania by end of August 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Trump replace Iran with Italy in the World Cup? 1 platforms · —politics
- Trump visits China in May? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Trump pardon Gannon Ken Van Dyke before 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Donald Trump bomb Iran again in 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Gavin Newsom formally announce a 2028 presidential campaign before January 1, 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Was the shooter a Trump supporter? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Bard College President, and known Epstein associate, Leon Botstein be ousted by the end of 2026 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Trump die in bed? 1 platforms · —politics
- Putin shakes hands with Trump at G20 Summit in Miami? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will there be a by-election in Greater Manchester before the next UK general election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Andy Burnham be an MP by the next UK general election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Don Trump Jr be married in a new East Wing Ballroom currently in randomly changing states or construction? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will "Considerations around career costs of politic..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Prabowo Subianto be re-elected to a second term in the 2029 Indonesian Presidential Election? 1 platforms · —politics
- If the PM after the next election is Green, will hitting children be banned in England within 5 years? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will any current Labour MP call for Keir Starmer to stand down after the local elections? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will a former pornstar become US president before China overtakes the US in GDP? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Democrats have 225 or more seats after the 2026 House Elections? 1 platforms · —politics
- SPD above 5% in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Trump orders mandatory AI predeployment evals by end of August 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Chuck Grassley run for reelection in 2028 to a ninth term as US Senator from Iowa? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will anyone recieve a majority in round 1 of the LA mayor election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will there be over 215 Republican seats after the midterm elections in the House of Representatives? 1 platforms · —politics
- Trump meets Xi Jinping again in 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? [Polymarket] 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the Trump-branded Trump Mobile Phone actually exist before the next Presidential election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Venezuela become the 51st state in trump’s term? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Naftali Bennett become Israel's prime minister after the October 2026 elections? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the UK introduce proportional representation for general elections before 2030? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Marco Rubio ever be President of the United States? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will democrats win the senate and lose the house? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Senate Banking hold a crypto market-structure markup by May 20, 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Republican primary for senate? 1 platforms · —politics
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? [Polymarket] 1 platforms · —politics
- If Andy Burnham loses the Makerfield by election, will be contest another by election before 2029? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Donald Trump issue an executive order imposing new tariffs on EU-origin goods by June 14, 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the 120th Congress refuse to seat any members due to a redistricting related dispute? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Pauline Hanson meet Donald Trump face-to-face in 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Thomas Massie leave Congress before his term ends? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Thomas Massie say Trump should be impeached before the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Stephen Colbert run for president in 2028? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Labour get more than 200 seats in the next UK House of Commons election? 1 platforms · —politics
- If Andy Burnham wins the Makerfield by-election, will he become Labour leader in the next leadership election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Jay Jones win the 2029 Virginia Gubernatorial election? 1 platforms · —politics