Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will USD strengthen against EUR in the next 24h? 1 platforms · —science
- Will I get an AI lab offer? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "How Go Players Disempower Themselves to AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the winner of the 2026 Kentucky Derby finish in under 2:02.00? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will more MLB managers get fired in the 2026 MLB season than in the 2025 MLB season? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will "The paper that killed deep learning theory" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- will i keep my gf by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- JD Vance Receives Cosmetic Jaw or Face Surgery Before 2028 1 platforms · —other
- Will ICE be renamed as NICE in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will ""Thinkhaven"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) reach $46 in May? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Bitcoin reach $90K USD in May 2026? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will Matt The Welder (Matt Taylor) win the Republican primary for Florida Commissioner of Agriculture? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the United States' Economic Freedom Score be <70 in the 2027 release? 1 platforms · —other
- Sub-1:58 marathon before LA Olympics? 1 platforms · —other
- Will US average gas price reach $4.300 in May 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum be certified by June 30th? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the 2026 Kentucky Derby have a close finish? 1 platforms · —other
- Will anyone find the fifth term of OEIS A390875 before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jannik Sinner win Roland Garros 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Florida Redistricting Before 2026 Midterms? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Virginia Supreme Court uphold the April 21 redistricting referendum and overturn the Tazewell County ruling? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the MN Wild beat the Dallas Stars in the first round of the 2026 NHL playoffs? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will I solve an Erdos problem? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Caroline Ellison Attend Manifest 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Update on the Alex Bores campaign" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will a Waymo self-driving car be involved in a fatal accident before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Considerations around career costs of politic..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Don Trump Jr be married in a new East Wing Ballroom currently in randomly changing states or construction? 1 platforms · —politics
- will i qualify for arml tiebreaker 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Jimmy Kimmel out of ABC before May 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Panormitis dock and unload its grain cargo at an Israeli port? 1 platforms · —science
- (Another) White House Correspondents' Dinner takes place before June 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Turkish Airlines give me a hotel for my twenty hour layover in Istanbul? 1 platforms · —science
- Will any driver classified in the top 8 of the F1 2026 Miami Sprint make at least one pit stop during the Sprint? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Narrows be hikeable on 2026/05/29? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Andy Burnham be an MP by the next UK general election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will there be a by-election in Greater Manchester before the next UK general election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Lewis Hamilton win a Formula 1 Grand Prix while driving for Ferrari? 1 platforms · —other
- Putin shakes hands with Trump at G20 Summit in Miami? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will I exercise every single day next week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will at least one World Marathon Major be won under 2 hours every year before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Protecting Cognitive Integrity: Our internal ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China's Collapse before 2035? (GDP down 20%) 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Trump die in bed? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Michael" receive any Oscar nominations? 1 platforms · —other