Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Pakistan become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mexico become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Argentina become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ukraine become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Canada become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Germany become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the world become more authoritarian in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- will @OfficialStellar be a millionaire in 10 years time? 1 platforms · —science
- Will I promote to Masters this season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "If Mythos actually made Anthropic employees 4..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —economics
- AI wins FTL using screen input and mouse/keyboard before 2027 1 platforms · —science
- Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Chicken-Free Egg Whites" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- By EOY2100, will the Moon host a giant toilet? 1 platforms · —other
- Artemis program lunar landing success discourages chinese moon landing ambitions? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Caryslia Rodríguez be replaced as President of the Venezuelan Supreme Tribunal of Justice (TSJ) before May 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Banská Štiavnica high temperature exceed 12°C on 2026-04-14? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Bibinje high temperature exceed 23°C on 2026-04-14? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Bratislava high temperature exceed 21°C on 2026-04-14? 1 platforms · —other
- Will it rain in Bratislava on 2026-04-14? 1 platforms · —science
- Will it rain in London on 2026-04-13? 1 platforms · —science
- Will London high temperature exceed 15°C on 2026-04-14? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Kino Casino be unbanned on Youtube by the end of 4/20? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will "Dario probably doesn't believe in superintell..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- yes Toronto,yes Cleveland,yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 20+,yes Bam Adebayo: 15+,yes Scottie Barnes: 15+,yes Brandon Miller: 20+,yes LaMelo Ball: 20+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 15+,yes Cade Cunningham: 15+,yes Darius Garland: 15+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 20+,yes Paul George: 15+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Diego Dedura-Palomero,yes Daniel Merida,yes Viktoriya Tomova 1 platforms · —other
- yes BOS Bruins,yes NYI Islanders,yes Over 6.5 goals scored 1 platforms · —other
- yes Toronto,yes Philadelphia,yes CJ McCollum: 15+,yes Jalen Johnson: 15+,yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 15+,yes Immanuel Quickley: 10+,yes Brandon Miller: 15+,yes Miles Bridges: 10+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 10+,yes Darius Garland: 10+,yes Paul George: 10+,yes Paolo Banchero: 10+,yes Donovan Clingan: 10+,yes Toumani Camara: 10+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Jannik Sinner,yes Juan Manuel Cerundolo,yes Diego Dedura-Palomero,yes Hamad Medjedovic,yes Sebastian Ofner,yes Daniel Merida,yes Vitaliy Sachko,yes Marco Trungelliti,yes Alexandre Muller,yes Mirra Andreeva 1 platforms · —other
- yes Cam Schlittler: 5+,yes Drew Rasmussen: 4+,yes Aaron Judge: 2+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes CJ McCollum: 10+,yes VJ Edgecombe: 15+,yes Desmond Bane: 10+,yes Franz Wagner: 10+,yes Paolo Banchero: 15+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Freddy Peralta: 5+,yes Tarik Skubal: 6+,no San Francisco wins by over 2.5 runs 1 platforms · —other
- yes Taj Bradley: 4+,yes Chris Sale: 7+,yes Corbin Carroll: 3+,yes Oneil Cruz: 4+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Jj Aldrich,yes Gokhan Saricam,yes Mike Malott,yes Marcio Barbosa,yes John Castaneda,yes Darya Zheleznyakova,yes Jasmine Jasudavicius,yes Charles Jourdain,yes Robert Valentin,yes Gauge Young,yes Mandel Nallo,yes Allan Nascimento 1 platforms · —other
- yes Lorenzo Musetti,yes Arthur Fils,yes Toronto,yes Charlotte,yes San Antonio,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Philadelphia,yes Minnesota,yes Portland,yes Cleveland,yes Arsenal 1 platforms · —other
- yes Atlanta,yes Toronto,yes Dallas,yes San Antonio,yes Detroit,yes Los Angeles C,yes Houston,yes Orlando,yes Oklahoma City,yes Portland,yes Los Angeles L 1 platforms · —other
- no Crystal Palace wins by over 2.5 goals,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored 1 platforms · —other
- yes Carlos Alcaraz,yes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Andrey Rublev,yes Alexander Zverev,yes Mirra Andreeva,yes Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1 platforms · —other
- yes Miami,yes San Antonio,yes Boston,yes Oklahoma City,yes Utah 1 platforms · —other
- yes Alexandre Muller,yes Toronto,yes Charlotte,yes San Antonio,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Philadelphia,yes Orlando,yes Portland,yes Los Angeles L,yes Cleveland,yes Cameron Young,yes Rory McIlroy,yes Mirra Andreeva,yes Alina Charaeva,yes Elvina Kalieva,yes Aliaksandra Sasnovich,yes Iryna Shymanovich,yes Zeynep Sonmez,yes Maria Timofeeva,yes Xinyu Wang,yes Vera Zvonareva 1 platforms · —other
- yes Hamad Medjedovic,yes Sebastian Ofner,yes Marco Trungelliti,yes Alexandre Muller,yes Alina Charaeva,yes Elvina Kalieva,yes Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1 platforms · —other
- yes Kevin Durant: 1+,yes Reed Sheppard: 1+,yes Utah,yes Houston,yes Darius Garland: 15+,yes Toumani Camara: 10+,yes Kevin Durant: 20+,yes Luguentz Dort: 10+,yes Alperen Sengun: 6+,yes Over 215.5 points scored,yes Over 213.5 points scored,no Over 262.5 points scored,yes Over 206.5 points scored,yes Over 216.5 points scored,yes Over 207.5 points scored 1 platforms · —other
- yes Texas,yes Brenton Doyle: 1+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Alex Freeland: 1+,yes Freddie Freeman: 2+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Will Smith: 1+,yes Andrew McCutchen: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Tyler Glasnow: 4+,yes Kumar Rocker: 2+,yes Wyatt Langford: 2+ 1 platforms · —other