Will any lab get a C grade for existential safety in the FLI's Winter 2026 AI Safety Index scorecard?
| Platform | Yes | No | Volume | Last seen | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold | 44.5% | 55.5% | — | 00:25 UTC | View → |
What do these odds mean?
As of 2026-07-13 00:25 UTC, prediction markets are pricing Will any lab get a C grade for existential safety in the FLI's Winter 2026 AI Safety Index scorecard? at 44%. The highest reading is 44.5% on manifold, while the lowest is 44.5% on manifold — a spread of 0.0 percentage points. Total volume across 1 platform(s): $0.
How to read cross-platform spreads
When two platforms price the same event meaningfully differently, it usually means one of three things: liquidity is thin on one side, fee structures are pushing a spread, or traders on one platform have information the other lacks. Spreads larger than 5 percentage points on events with over $50K in volume often resolve toward the higher-volume platform's price.
About this data
Beeks.ai aggregates prediction market data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Updates run every minute. Consensus probability is a volume-weighted average across all matched markets. Historical snapshots are stored for calibration analysis.
News & context
Your edge calculator
Enter your own probability estimate to see expected value and recommended position size using the Kelly Criterion.