Will Lockheed Martin deliver more than 190 F-35 aircraft in 2029?
| Platform | Yes | No | Volume | Last seen | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold | 66.2% | 33.8% | — | 04:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 66.2% | 33.8% | — | 04:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 67.8% | 32.2% | — | 04:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 67.8% | 32.2% | — | 04:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 66.2% | 33.8% | — | 04:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 61.0% | 39.0% | — | 04:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 43.0% | 57.0% | — | 04:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 66.2% | 33.8% | — | 04:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 56.4% | 43.6% | — | 04:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 52.4% | 47.6% | — | 04:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 56.9% | 43.1% | — | 04:23 UTC | View → |
| Manifold | 38.9% | 61.1% | — | 04:23 UTC | View → |
What do these odds mean?
As of 2026-04-10 04:23 UTC, prediction markets are pricing Will Lockheed Martin deliver more than 190 F-35 aircraft in 2029? at 59%. The highest reading is 67.8% on manifold, while the lowest is 38.9% on manifold — a spread of 28.8 percentage points. Total volume across 1 platform(s): $0.
How to read cross-platform spreads
When two platforms price the same event meaningfully differently, it usually means one of three things: liquidity is thin on one side, fee structures are pushing a spread, or traders on one platform have information the other lacks. Spreads larger than 5 percentage points on events with over $50K in volume often resolve toward the higher-volume platform's price.
About this data
Beeks.ai aggregates prediction market data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Updates run every minute. Consensus probability is a volume-weighted average across all matched markets. Historical snapshots are stored for calibration analysis.
News & context
Your edge calculator
Enter your own probability estimate to see expected value and recommended position size using the Kelly Criterion.