Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will there be a collab between Manifold and Kinnu before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi) 1 platforms · —politics
- Will "Statistical Challenges with Making Super IQ b..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jiri Prochazka defeat Carlos Ulberg @ UFC 327? 1 platforms · —sports
- Venezuelan leader dies in us prison by 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- CIGARs (permanent) 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get into a non-empty subset of {MCSP, SuMAC, PROMYS, ROSS} 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Trump in Walter Reed on 4/4/2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will a tornado outbreak occur on either April 12, 13, 14 or 15 in the USA? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Fajila Patel be elected to the Bastwell and Daisyfield ward in the May local elections? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will "dark ilan" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump follow through on his power plant/bridge threats? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will any Lycoris Recoil character have a kioku in Magia Exedra by the end of 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US-Iran conflict end by 30th April? 1 platforms · —sports
- Are the biggest crypto YouTubers paid to post coordinated content? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will I notice any degradation in Claude performance over the next week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hungary become more authoritarian in 2025? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Stanley Milgram wasn’t pessimistic enough abo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the March 2026 Consumer Price Index (CPI) report show an annual (YoY) inflation rate of 3.8% or higher? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will LeBron James average at least 42.0 (Points + Rebounds + Assists) per game over the final 5 games? 1 platforms · —other
- Will LeBron James record at least two Triple-Doubles in the final 5 games of the 2025–26 regular season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will COMEX Gold (June 2026) touch $5000.00 at any point before April 25, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I stick to my study schedule (4h daily target) next week? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Javokhir Sindarov score 5/7 or better in his final 7 games of the Candidates Tournament 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I ban mobile devices from my bedroom next week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I leave the house before 11 a.m. every day next week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will gas exceed $4.50 before midterm 1 platforms · —other
- Gas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at Oscars 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will direct passenger ferry service between mainland Taiwan and mainland China resume by end of 2026?” 1 platforms · —science
- Will there be widespread gas rationing at the pump in Italy by noon May 21, 2026 (local time)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Victor Wembanyama win at least 4 NBA MVP awards by the time he retires? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Daniel Sun qualify for IMO 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Tiger Zhang finish problem set 4 for 18.905 on time? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Andy Weir’s next novel take place in space? 1 platforms · —science
- Will my mentee fix the bug that's bothering him within a week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will the Sam & Max comic be back in print before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a European country start participating in the war with Iran before May 1? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Democracy Dies With The Rifleman" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Cape of Good Hope tanker transit calls average at least 15% higher in April 2026 than in April 2025? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I do something interesting this week according to me 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will the US unemployment rate be above 4.5% in April 2026? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Solana (SOL) be below $86 on May 1? 1 platforms · —other
- Avengers Doomsday to be delayed 1 platforms · —other
- America is going to lose one or more warships in Iran war during 18th to 23rd April 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Underdog win in 2025/26 UEFA Champions League round of 8? 1 platforms · —other