Signal · Live Shifts
Market Movers
Prediction markets with the biggest probability shifts. The loudest signal of new information hitting the tape.
↑ Rising (3)
- Will either Dianna Russini or Mike Vrabel (or either of their spouses) file for divorce this year?+2.6pp 53% from 50% — other
- Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028?+2.5pp 52% from 50% — other
- Will there be a separate, second ceasefire in the America / Iran war in 2026?+1.2pp 42% from 41% — economics
↓ Falling (13)
- Will Apple release a new iMac before July 1, 2026?-16.8pp 14% from 31% — other
- Will I get a refund on my US tax return-4.8pp 45% from 50% — other
- Will Claude Mythos ever be publicly released?-3.8pp 73% from 77% — other
- will I be in masters league in every season in 2026?-2.8pp 29% from 31% — other
- Will the Lakers advance past the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs?-2.6pp 49% from 52% — sports
- Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie drop 50% or less in its second domestic weekend?-2.4pp 48% from 50% — other
- Will Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?-2.3pp 51% from 53% — other
- Will Hunter Biden fight Donald Trump Jr or Eric Trump in 2026?-2.2pp 1% from 4% — politics
- Will MNX hit $100m in volume 2026?-2.0pp 56% from 58% — other
- Will I win a prize in the prize drawing?-1.9pp 8% from 10% — other
- Daily Coinflip-1.3pp 50% from 51% — sports
- Will the ID verification requirement for new users be reversed?-0.9pp 57% from 58% — other
- Will manifolders think that the ID verification for new users should be reversed?-0.7pp 96% from 96% — other
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