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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Outcome of West Indies vs Pakistan Test series (Jul-Aug 2026) 1 platforms · —other
- Will SSI do anything I consider interesting before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my Manifold Markets net worth reach 14K by August 26, 2026? (Reached 9,555 on Day 65.) 1 platforms · —other
- If the 2028 Dem ticket is Kamala/AOC, will they win? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the 2028 Dem ticket be Kamala as prez, AOC as VP? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Americans' confidence in newspapers decline in 2027, according to Gallup? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I destroy my keyboard? 1 platforms · —other
- New Mersenne Prime found before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Is Mythos good at cyber because it kept hacki..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the hot tub be fixed by Saturday night? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "You (Yes, You) Need A February 2020 Checklist..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a rider from Team SD Worx - Protime win Stage 1 of the 2026 Tour de France Femmes? 1 platforms · —other
- Will at least one major hurricane make landfall in the US? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a recession / downturn by the end of 2050 that makes me stop believing "stocks only go up"? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Loop Gear SK07 reach 90% of its stated 2800 lumen max output after 30 seconds of runtime on turbo mode 1 platforms · —other
- Will James Micheltorena make the Mathcounts team this year 1 platforms · —other
- Will Larry Cao Get A GF by 9th Grade 1 platforms · —other
- Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos personally travel to the Moon aboard a vehicle from one of their own companies before 2036? 1 platforms · —other
- Seb Krier gets fired OR promoted at Google DeepMind before September? 1 platforms · —other
- jeetwin - বাংলাদেশের অন্যতম জনপ্রিয় অনলাইন বেটিং ও ক্যাসিনো সাইট 1 platforms · —other
- Will Non-Republicans hold at least 53% of House seats on any given day by July 27, 2027? (7/27/27) 1 platforms · —other
- Leader of the GC after stage 9 to be the winner of La Vuelta a España 1 platforms · —other
- does 1 + 1 = 2 1 platforms · —other
- Will U answer this question 1 platforms · —other
- Free Lottery (past attractor) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Corgi go bankrupt? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hasan play any video game on stream in 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Wero reach 10 countries before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will bot trades account for more than 75% of the total volume of trades in 1 week 1 platforms · —other
- By 2041, will having $10M+ in personal financial wealth provide little or no material lifestyle advantage over 0 wealth? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Spiderman: Brand New Day beat Spiderman: No Way Home's opening weekend? 1 platforms · —other
- Nagad88 Bangladesh - Premium Online Betting & Gaming Platform 1 platforms · —other
- T Coronae Borealis reaches magnitude 5.0 before November 11th, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will interest in lab grown diamond stud earrings continue to grow in the US by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "LLMs Can't See Pixels or Characters" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Opus 5 Slay Spires better than Sol? 1 platforms · —other
- Goldsbet Bangladesh - Top Online Betting & Casino Platform 1 platforms · —other
- Will Democrats win more than 230 seats in the House in the 2026 midterms? 1 platforms · —other
- Will @Quroe be the next moderator to ban me? 1 platforms · —other
- Steph Curry traded before new season starts? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Samuel rank at least 18th on the 2027 U.S. baby name list? (Samuel is ranked 18th on the list released in 2026.) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic somehow patch the Opus 5 base-model-like behavior from "---" prompts (or pull the model) by September 1? 1 platforms · —other
- Will communists arrest me for speech violations within the next year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The High-Control Dynamics at MAPLE" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Seb Krier's Antichrist Meme tweet still be up on August 1st? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "RL & search is a terrifying way to build AGI ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Cheesecake Factory stock price close below 88.88 by December 28, 2026? (NASDAQ: CAKE) 1 platforms · —other