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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Futarchy Chess end in a draw? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 85 kt? 1 platforms · —other
- Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 2200 kt? 1 platforms · —other
- Will global SiC power semiconductor revenue for 2027 exceed 4 USD billion? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Spruce Pine, NC high-purity quartz mining be fully operational on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- gta 6 sortira t il en 2027 ? 1 platforms · —other
- Will one of the top eight ranked snooker players win the World Championship 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Underdog win in 2025/26 UEFA Champions League round of 8? 1 platforms · —other
- America is going to lose one or more warships in Iran war during 18th to 23rd April 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Avengers Doomsday to be delayed 1 platforms · —other
- Will Solana (SOL) be below $86 on May 1? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Cape of Good Hope tanker transit calls average at least 15% higher in April 2026 than in April 2025? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Democracy Dies With The Rifleman" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a European country start participating in the war with Iran before May 1? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Sam & Max comic be back in print before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my mentee fix the bug that's bothering him within a week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Tiger Zhang finish problem set 4 for 18.905 on time? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Daniel Sun qualify for IMO 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be widespread gas rationing at the pump in Italy by noon May 21, 2026 (local time)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at Oscars 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will gas exceed $4.50 before midterm 1 platforms · —other
- Will Javokhir Sindarov score 5/7 or better in his final 7 games of the Candidates Tournament 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will COMEX Gold (June 2026) touch $5000.00 at any point before April 25, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will LeBron James record at least two Triple-Doubles in the final 5 games of the 2025–26 regular season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will LeBron James average at least 42.0 (Points + Rebounds + Assists) per game over the final 5 games? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Stanley Milgram wasn’t pessimistic enough abo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hungary become more authoritarian in 2025? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I notice any degradation in Claude performance over the next week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any Lycoris Recoil character have a kioku in Magia Exedra by the end of 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "dark ilan" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a tornado outbreak occur on either April 12, 13, 14 or 15 in the USA? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get into a non-empty subset of {MCSP, SuMAC, PROMYS, ROSS} 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- CIGARs (permanent) 1 platforms · —other
- Venezuelan leader dies in us prison by 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Statistical Challenges with Making Super IQ b..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a collab between Manifold and Kinnu before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Modi leave india 1 platforms · —other
- When the title screen of Invincible S4 crumbles away, will Thragg be behind it? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Brent Crude Oil close above $120 on April 15th, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Zac complete his overglade debt before 11 Apr 1 platforms · —other
- Will I think Manifest was worth the (huge) ticket price? 1 platforms · —other
- will India reduce its dependency on crude oil imports to below 50% of its total crude oil requirements within 10 years? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- By the end of 2027: Germany will be actively engaged in war or there will be acts of war on German Territory. 1 platforms · —other
- Will Astra attend HCTG 1 platforms · —other
- Close 1 platforms · —other