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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 6500 USD/kg on December 31, 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will hafnium unwrought metal price exceed 4000 USD/kg on June 30, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China have active export controls on zirconium oxychloride (ZOC) on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will ASM KMP zirconium metal production for March 2027 exceed 75 t? 1 platforms · —other
- Who is winrr vs mi no rr win yes mi 1 platforms · —other
- Will China coated spherical graphite (battery grade) exceed 6000 USD/t on March 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- If AGI has an okay outcome, will it be via the MIRI path of a pause ended with the help of some other technology? 1 platforms · —other
- [SHORT FUSE] Will WTI oil prices exceed $150/barrel before April 10? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Syrah Vidalia 6-month AAM production exceed 9000 t for the period ending March 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will synthetic graphite active anode material (AAM) China spot price exceed 4000 USD/t on June 30, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will premium petroleum needle coke spot price (China) exceed 700 USD/t on June 30, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Natural graphite share of EV lithium-ion battery anode material by mass exceed 70 percent on December 31, 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China natural graphite mine production for 2028 exceed 1050 kt? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China have active, unresumed export controls on graphite anode material (HS 3801.10/3801.90) on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Kamoa-Kakula Project 95 be fully commissioned by 2026-12-31? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Platreef Shaft #3 have achieved operational ore hoisting by 1 platforms · —other
- Will Kamoa-Kakula copper production exceed 500,000 tonnes for calendar year 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the government of a European country propose to withdraw from NATO before August 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will MiniMax release the weights of its M2.7 model by the end of the week? 1 platforms · —other
- Can i do 100 days of tango under 1 minute (LinkedIn game) second try 1 platforms · —other
- Gt vs rr who is win yes gt no rr 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic reach 50 billion in ARR by the end of June? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Naveen Suceed ? 1 platforms · —other
- Tesla closes above 350 USD on April 17? 1 platforms · —other
- 🇺🇸💥🇪🇺 Will there be a war between the United States and an EU country or European Union as a whole by end of 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get into PROMYS 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I post 2 articles on my Substack between 7Apr - 13Apr 1 platforms · —other
- Hamideh Soleimani the niece of late IRGC General Qassem Soleimani? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Iran shoot down a US military plane/helicopter by end of April? 1 platforms · —other
- Do you like 84% odds? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Futarchy Chess end in a draw? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Wacker Chemie polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 85 kt? 1 platforms · —other
- Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China polysilicon production for 2028 exceed 2200 kt? 1 platforms · —other
- Will global SiC power semiconductor revenue for 2027 exceed 4 USD billion? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Spruce Pine, NC high-purity quartz mining be fully operational on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China have active export controls on silicon metal (MG-Si) on December 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- gta 6 sortira t il en 2027 ? 1 platforms · —other
- Will one of the top eight ranked snooker players win the World Championship 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Underdog win in 2025/26 UEFA Champions League round of 8? 1 platforms · —other
- America is going to lose one or more warships in Iran war during 18th to 23rd April 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Avengers Doomsday to be delayed 1 platforms · —other
- Will Solana (SOL) be below $86 on May 1? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Cape of Good Hope tanker transit calls average at least 15% higher in April 2026 than in April 2025? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Democracy Dies With The Rifleman" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a European country start participating in the war with Iran before May 1? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Sam & Max comic be back in print before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my mentee fix the bug that's bothering him within a week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Tiger Zhang finish problem set 4 for 18.905 on time? 1 platforms · —other