Live Odds
Politics Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- IF there is a special senate election before November in South Carolina, will a Democrat win it? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will "The current bottleneck is political will, not..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the gop ticket in 2028 be Jd Vance for President, Marco Rubio for vice president? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will parliamentary elections take place in Romania in 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Trump announce that Jon Ossof and Raphael Warnock are illegitimate Senators by the end of the week? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will voter turnout be higher in the Clacton by election 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Donald Trump’s approval rating increase by at least 1 point by July 21? 1 platforms · —politics
- Vancouver adopt Villages before next election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will BJP lost in 2029 India Parliamentary Election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Trump leave office OR will a family member be indicted OR will Democrats win the Senate before January 20, 2029? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will a major 2028 Democratic presidential candidate propose creating a Cabinet-level department to deal with AI risk? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will anyone other than Farage and Binface get their deposit back in the 2026 Clacton by-election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the Israeli elections result in government formation? 1 platforms · —politics
- WIll Mykhailo Fedorov become the next President of Ukraine? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Trump finish his second term? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Donald Trump do his famous dance during the World Cup trophy presentation? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Judit Polgár become the next President of Hungary? 1 platforms · —politics
- If Judit Polgár becomes President of Hungary, will she play an in-person game of chess with a world leader this year. 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Troy Jackson be the 2028 Democratic nominee for vice president? 1 platforms · —politics
- Elections in Ukraine called before 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Trump’s proposed 50% tariff on Canada ever go in effect? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Trump's tariffs using Section 338 hold 1 platforms · —politics
- Netanyahu hugs/embraces Trump and/or Zelenskyy in July 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Donald Trump be physically present in the White House at January 20th 23:59 pm? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will France's next president officially apologize to Algeria for colonization? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Labour get <50% of the 1st preference vote in the 2026 Manchester mayoral by-election in any borough? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will there be in a runoff in the 2026 Greater Manchestor mayoral by-election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Trump announce he is running for President in the 2028 election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Trump impeached before Iran war's end? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Trump be reelected again 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Abdul El Sayed win the Michigan Democratic primary for senate by 10.00000% or more? 1 platforms · —politics
- If Alani Bankhead drops out of the 2026 Montana Senate race, will a Republican win? 1 platforms · —politics
- If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms? 1 platforms · —politics
- FIFA President be sacked? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will any newly elected representatives be denied a seat in congress? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Trump wear glasses in August? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will 10 or more countries have elected artificial candidates to political offices by 2036? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Mitch McConnell be alive on January 3, 2027? (End of his Senate term) 1 platforms · —politics
- Will JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Maine Senate Election? 1 platforms · —politics
- 🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027 1 platforms · —politics