Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will "Digger" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend 1 platforms · —other
- Will the price of Brent crude oil reach $100 by end of July 30? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Our response to Séb Krier on Plan A" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a Top 50 US public school district officially mandate or adopt an AI assistant for core grading by June 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- US charges Strait of Hormuz transit fee by end of August? 1 platforms · —science
- Will voter turnout be higher in the Clacton by election 1 platforms · —politics
- Will $BTC cross $70000 before the end of July? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will France beat Spain in 90 minutes? (WC 2026 semifinal, 14 Jul) 1 platforms · —science
- Will "The Whitney Biennial Should Admit That Emilie..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Connor McDavid join the maple leafs once his contract runs out? (2027-2028) 1 platforms · —other
- Will the CDC identify a single confirmed food source for the current U.S. cyclosporiasis outbreak before end of July? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mitch Mcconnell be declared dead by September 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump announce that Jon Ossof and Raphael Warnock are illegitimate Senators by the end of the week? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Novig become a unicorn by EOY? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US or China impose a ban on releasing open weight AIs above a certain threshold before 2030 1 platforms · —science
- Wird Marcant einer Debatte mit Martin Sellner zustimmen? 1 platforms · —other
- Comment a country, resolves yes/no to FairlyRandom first 10 from new search results. 1 platforms · —science
- US-Iran nuclear deal [Kalshi] resolves the same as US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal [Polymarket] 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The state of AI safety in four fake graphs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- will there be a walmart within nyc city limits by the end of 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- 2027 UCL Chmpion F.C. Barcelona？ 1 platforms · —other
- Will it rain in Osnabrück on 20.07.2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will parliamentary elections take place in Romania in 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will "The easiest pathway to control is through exe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- England vs India ODI series (July 2026) 1 platforms · —other
- Will ukraine produce a Patriot missile by the end of 2029? 1 platforms · —science
- Will a restaurant in Berkeley get a Michelin star before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I write for >half the time that I read this month? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any person who appears on the ballot as a republican win a citywide office in the District of Columbia? 1 platforms · —other
- Which number model will Anthropic be on by EOY? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a penalty shootout in at least two of the remaining 2026 World Cup matches? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Merle Streep and Martin Short get married in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will England advance to the 2026 World Cup Final over Argentina? 1 platforms · —other
- Did Russia assassinate Lindsey Graham? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US mass airlift chips from Taiwan if China implements a blockade? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Texas run out of water before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a bot win the Metaculus Summer Cup 1 platforms · —other
- 3 or more goals scored in the FIFA 2026 World Cup Final (in normal time) 1 platforms · —sports
- photo booth software 1 platforms · —other
- Will OpenAI's codex pets include options for HP Tour Guide, Clippy, or BonziBuddy to resurrect as pets by EOY2039? 1 platforms · —science
- 5% more men than women in the US by 2055? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the ratio of males to females in the United States exceed 1.05:1 before 2055? 1 platforms · —other
- PEGASUSPH Philippines – Modern Online Gaming and Digital Entertainment Platform 1 platforms · —science
- TM SIM Registration: Everything You Need to Know Before Registering Your SIM 1 platforms · —other
- By the end of 2035, will I be able to use a hoverbike as a regular mode of transportation across New York Harbor? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will the gop ticket in 2028 be Jd Vance for President, Marco Rubio for vice president? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the invite be nominated for best director for Olivia wilde? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a sequel to Sophie's World be written by 2040? 1 platforms · —other
- Will manifoldmarkets/manifold PR #3949 merge before October? 1 platforms · —other
- SBF records another podcast from prison by EOY? 1 platforms · —other