Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Romania have a new Government by the end of August? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ashlee Vance interview Lada Nuzhna of General Control by EOY2030? 1 platforms · —other
- OpenAI’s Claimed Proof of the Cycle Double Cover Conjecture Affirmed before 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Title of the movie spoken within "The Odyssey"? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any sprint stage* of the 2026 Tour de France be won by a late escapee*? 1 platforms · —other
- Is Kettner Griswold the most GOAT thiel fellow? 1 platforms · —other
- Will one of my tweets go (semi?) viral in the next 2 months? 1 platforms · —other
- Is Lada Nuzhna the GOAT? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Wikipedia’s “2026 FIFA World Cup” article exceed 10 million pageviews from July 10–19, 2026? 1 platforms · —sports
- Nick Cannon has 2 dozen kids before he croaks? 1 platforms · —other
- Can I get donate 1000 mana ? 1 platforms · —other
- Por que alguns apps de hábitos conseguem manter usuários por mais tempo? 1 platforms · —science
- Will US impose new tariffs on Spain by end of July 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the Fed cut interest rates at the next FOMC meeting (July/Sept 2026)? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Apple announce new iPhone 18 features at September 2026 event? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Selective Optimism: a critique of AI 2040" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Conor McGregor win another UFC fight before he turns 40? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will any country boycott the Summer Olympic Games in LA? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a death of more than one member of Congress in 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Vozinha to Inter Miami? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Arron Rodger’s get injured before game 8 in the 2026 season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ted Cruz be nominated for Supreme Court Justice before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Nvidia (NVDA) close at or above $250 by September 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Kylian Mbappé score or assist a goal in the first half of the Semifinal match? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Norway win the Worldcup 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The mosquito bucket of doom works" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Korean stock market hit an all time high within 6 months? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Micron hit an all time high within 6 months? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump declare himself Pope before the end of 2026 1 platforms · —politics
- IF Troy Jackson is the Maine senate nominee for democrats, will Joe Biden endorse or campaign for him? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will hardmaru win the Japan’s Order of the Rising Sun? 1 platforms · —other
- This is my 47th day. I have 16 referrals to Manifold Markets. Will I have 20 by August 4, 2026 (8/4/26)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "AI 2040: Plan A" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will I like the New Oxford Annotated Bible Sixth Edition? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Penn outlive Teller? 1 platforms · —other
- Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Anthropic's next AI R&D-4 determination resolve "not crossed, with hedge + voluntary artifacts"? (Motion 001 P1) 1 platforms · —science
- Filpo ser expulso hoje 1 platforms · —other
- I will be able to purchase an Apple folding phone at an Apple store before September 30, 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Rays lead the AL East by over 3.0 games AND the Yankees trade for an All-Star by July 31? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by election? 1 platforms · —politics
- BNB7月能达到1000吗? 1 platforms · —other
- Will shebe maburna be out before December 1 platforms · —other
- Will Firmus IPO in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Bun's number of open issues will be lower by the end of year 1 platforms · —other
- Will lavos of Vandyland make it out of the program before he gets kicked? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Italy Qualify for the next FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Lewandowski to score in first match playing for Chicago Fire? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mitch McConnell make a verifiable, live public appearance before August 3, 2026? 1 platforms · —other