Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Tetra change her discord profile picture in the next month? 1 platforms · —other
- In the next two months will I find a conconspirator for making prediction markets about personal life outcomes? 1 platforms · —other
- Will America lose its war against Iran? 1 platforms · —science
- Will anti-gravitational technology be disclosed before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the FIFA World Cup 2026 final be held on July 19, 2026 as scheduled? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will the US Federal Reserve change the target federal funds rate at the conclusion of its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meet? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will jovie ever go on hiatus again? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "The Corner-Stone" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I complete my overglade debt before May 1? 1 platforms · —other
- Close 1 platforms · —other
- Will Astra attend HCTG 1 platforms · —other
- By the end of 2027: Germany will be actively engaged in war or there will be acts of war on German Territory. 1 platforms · —other
- Will Fees for Passing the Strait of Hormuz Persist? 1 platforms · —science
- Will a cruise ship be sunk by terrorists or a state military force by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- will India reduce its dependency on crude oil imports to below 50% of its total crude oil requirements within 10 years? 1 platforms · —other
- If Labour loses over 1000 council seats in the 2026 local elections, will Starmer cease to be PM in 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will I think Manifest was worth the (huge) ticket price? 1 platforms · —other
- If Labour loses >1000 council seats & Starmer doesn't leave as PM in 2026, will PM after next election be Labour? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Zac complete his overglade debt before 11 Apr 1 platforms · —other
- Will Brent Crude Oil close above $120 on April 15th, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- will christopher sakalyiski make usaaio camp 1 platforms · —science
- When the title screen of Invincible S4 crumbles away, will Thragg be behind it? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Modi leave india 1 platforms · —other
- Will Project Hail Mary be nominated for Best Picture? 1 platforms · —science
- Will there be a collab between Manifold and Kinnu before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will OpenAI, Anthropic or Google cut API access to their text models, in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will JD Vance, Marco Rubio OR Gavin Newsom win the 2028 presidential election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi) 1 platforms · —politics
- Will "Statistical Challenges with Making Super IQ b..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jiri Prochazka defeat Carlos Ulberg @ UFC 327? 1 platforms · —sports
- Venezuelan leader dies in us prison by 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- CIGARs (permanent) 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get into a non-empty subset of {MCSP, SuMAC, PROMYS, ROSS} 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Trump in Walter Reed on 4/4/2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will a tornado outbreak occur on either April 12, 13, 14 or 15 in the USA? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Fajila Patel be elected to the Bastwell and Daisyfield ward in the May local elections? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will "dark ilan" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump follow through on his power plant/bridge threats? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will any Lycoris Recoil character have a kioku in Magia Exedra by the end of 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US-Iran conflict end by 30th April? 1 platforms · —sports
- Are the biggest crypto YouTubers paid to post coordinated content? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will I notice any degradation in Claude performance over the next week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hungary become more authoritarian in 2025? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Stanley Milgram wasn’t pessimistic enough abo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the March 2026 Consumer Price Index (CPI) report show an annual (YoY) inflation rate of 3.8% or higher? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will LeBron James average at least 42.0 (Points + Rebounds + Assists) per game over the final 5 games? 1 platforms · —other
- Will LeBron James record at least two Triple-Doubles in the final 5 games of the 2025–26 regular season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will COMEX Gold (June 2026) touch $5000.00 at any point before April 25, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I stick to my study schedule (4h daily target) next week? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Javokhir Sindarov score 5/7 or better in his final 7 games of the Candidates Tournament 2026? 1 platforms · —other