Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will both general election candidates in the race for the governor of California be Republicans? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Manifold Markets (or its web host) partner with Project Glasswing to bolster its own cybersecurity by EOY2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Wordpress partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Mi win 2026 ipl 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ukraine regain control of the whole of Kherson region by 2028? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Trump get angry at a journalist during his next speech? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will FP8 be the primary pretraining precision for a majority of frontier models released in 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Do you think Bayern would win the second leg against Real Madrid 1 platforms · —science
- Will Molymet's Chilean rhenium APR facility be at normal operations on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China rhenium imports exceed 42 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will global primary rhenium production exceed 95 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will APR (ammonium perrhenate) Rotterdam price exceed 8000 USD/kg on March 31, 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will US rhenium apparent consumption exceed 48 thousand kg in the year ending December 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will US rhenium net import reliance exceed 82% in the year ending December 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Iran charges "Strait of Hormuz fees" on June 1? 1 platforms · —science
- Will SpaceX IPA by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the next nuclear bomb end a worldwide conflict, or be the beginning of one? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will ceasefire between US and Iran hold the two weeks announced by Trump ? 1 platforms · —politics
- S&p500 all time high close in April? 1 platforms · —other
- will I make FNCS 1 platforms · —other
- Will KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Donald Trump before 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Comcast/Xfinity partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027? 1 platforms · —other
- S&P 500 increases on 8 April 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Ben Roberts-Smith found guilty of war crimes before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Hegseth, Patel, or RFK is out within the next 90 days 1 platforms · —crypto
- LUCK8 1 platforms · —other
- Will Donald Trump Die before 2027 1 platforms · —politics
- Will "My picture of the present in AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Hollywood release an Iran F-15E rescue mission movie by the end of 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China July 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes? 1 platforms · —other
- Will China October 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Energy Fuels White Mesa Sm2O3 production exceed 5 tonnes in 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Lockheed Martin deliver more than 190 F-35 aircraft in 2029? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Sm metal (Western) spot price exceed 50 USD/kg on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Sm2O3 Western (CIF Rotterdam) spot price exceed 25 USD/kg on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Sm2Co17 sintered magnet (Western) commercial price exceed 500 USD/kg on December 31, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ucore's Alaska Strategic Metals Complex be producing Sm2O3 at commercial scale on June 30, 2028? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will China's MOFCOM samarium export controls be actively in force on June 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Project Hail Mary" receive more Oscar nominations than "Dune: Part Three"? 1 platforms · —science
- Any Canadian federal MPs floor-cross in the next year? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will there be any kinetic action between India and Pakistan by the end of May 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Wizzrobe ever win another Major? (Melee) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Apple's foldable iPhone be called 'iPhone Ultra'? 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Mandalorian and Grogu (May 22) beat The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s $130.9M opening weekend? 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Devil Wears Prada 2 debut with a Rotten Tomatoes Critic Score > 75%? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I judge that trump has TACO'd again before the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- "Will Orion (AI EdTech Startup) reach a $1B 'Unicorn' valuation by end of December 31, 2028?" 1 platforms · —science
- Who will win: Arsenal or Sporting Lisboa? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026? 1 platforms · —science