Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will https://clawinstitute.aiscientist.tools/ still exist by EOY2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the US government functionally seize control of Anthropic by EOY2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the current US x Iran ceasefire hold? 1 platforms · —other
- goog ath april? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Argentina's March 2026 inflation exceed 3%? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Javokhir Sindarov break the record for most points in the FIDE candidates tournament? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a second Manifold Prize Drawing in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I win a prize in the prize drawing? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The effects of caffeine consumption do not de..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the HappyHorse-1.0 weights become publicly available before EOY 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- will my company allow me to work remote? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the ID verification requirement for new users be reversed? 1 platforms · —other
- Will MNX have $1m in volume before September 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will MNX hit $100m in volume 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Max Verstappen race in 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I appear on TBPN in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Do you think Sabrina Carpenter’s “House Tour (Official Video)” will cross 20M YouTube views before April 2026 ends? 1 platforms · —other
- will I be in masters league in every season in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an individualised ransomware campaign materially harm 100k people by 9 April 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will I pass all 3 of my A-Levels this year? 1 platforms · —other
- Daily Coinflip 1 platforms · —sports
- Will there be any new driver on podium in F1 Miami Grand Prix race, other than those who were on the podium during 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump be excommunicated by Pope Leo XIV in 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the next Minecraft April Fools' Version feature a change to the hotbar or one or more dimensions? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Lakers advance past the first round of the 2026 NBA Playoffs? 1 platforms · —sports
- UFC 328: Chimaev win against Strickland? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will "Do not be surprised if LessWrong gets hacked" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will manifolders think that the ID verification for new users should be reversed? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a named tropical cyclone make landfall in Delaware, Maryland, or Virginia between June 1 and November 30? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Aleph Alpha and Cohere merge in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Apple release a new iMac before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Delcy Rodríguez increase Venezuela's minimum wage above 40,000 VES by May 1st, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will iDenfy leak user identification data by 2027-12-31? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a separate, second ceasefire in the America / Iran war in 2026? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will I get a refund on my US tax return 1 platforms · —other
- Will either Dianna Russini or Mike Vrabel (or either of their spouses) file for divorce this year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hunter Biden fight Donald Trump Jr or Eric Trump in 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- yes Jannik Sinner,yes Valentin Vacherot,yes LA Kings,yes Mirra Andreeva 1 platforms · —other
- yes Los Angeles L wins by over 1.5 points,yes Portland wins by over 2.5 points 1 platforms · —other
- yes Carolina wins by over 2.5 goals,yes Utah wins by over 1.5 goals,yes Winnipeg wins by over 1.5 goals 1 platforms · —other
- yes Miami,yes WPG Jets 1 platforms · —other
- yes Deandre Ayton: 15+,yes LeBron James: 20+,yes LeBron James: 8+,yes Houston wins by over 7.5 points 1 platforms · —other
- yes Everton,yes Chelsea,yes Aston Villa 1 platforms · —other
- yes NSH Predators,yes SJ Sharks,yes Over 6.5 goals scored,yes Over 6.5 goals scored 1 platforms · —other
- yes Los Angeles L,yes Draymond Green: 2+,yes Deandre Ayton: 4+,yes Houston wins by over 10.5 points 1 platforms · —other
- yes San Diego,yes Chicago C,yes Miami,yes San Francisco 1 platforms · —other
- yes Akshay Bhatia,yes Bryson DeChambeau,yes Brooks Koepka,yes Jason Day,yes Justin Rose,yes Rory McIlroy,yes Shane Lowry,yes Scottie Scheffler,yes Tommy Fleetwood,yes Xander Schauffele 1 platforms · —other
- yes Alexander Zverev,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles L 1 platforms · —other