Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will there be found a language whose phonology is provably outside IOTSL level of subregular complexity, by EOY 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the June 2026 Venezuela earthquakes have a confirmed death toll of 2,000+ by Aug 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- When Fable access returns, will it be available as part of the monthly paid plan? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the Printerz win their game against the Gippes 1 platforms · —science
- Will November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will we get asi before dwarf fortress 1.0? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "What is up with e/acc?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Strait of Malacca be blockaded anytime in the next 10 years? 1 platforms · —science
- Will xAI have an AI model restricted from public use in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- I offered to raise money for a guy I met by video over a year ago. Will he accept my help fundraising by 7/11/26? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Papyrus appear in Deltarune? 1 platforms · —other
- The Whaleslayer Coinflip V2 1 platforms · —sports
- Will a commenter post a link to a video showing Micah Lasher doing a magic trick? 1 platforms · —other
- Will JasonMendoza2008 manage to make 1000 profit solely market making before the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the U.S. Gini coefficient (FRED series GINIALLRH) be lower in 2025 than in 2024? 1 platforms · —other
- Will all 5 Anti-Social Press cryptogram books be published on Amazon by the end October 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "AI catastrophe: more like a genocide than a t..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- When re-enabled, will Fable require verification via government ID? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mbappé break Messi’s goal record in this wc ? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a Manifold Markets user join my OpenChat group and stay 45 consecutive days before Oct. 29, 2026 (10/26/29)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Claude Code support the .agents/skills/ standard before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Blue Stars Brass placing Top 6 for the first time since the 70’s 1 platforms · —other
- Will CrowdStrike (CRWD) close higher in its first week after the 4:1 split? 1 platforms · —other
- Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ? 1 platforms · —science
- Got a brand new bed yesterday. Will I have to make a warrant claim by July 17, 2026 (7/17/26)? 1 platforms · —science
- Am I washed? 1 platforms · —other
- Chasing Yellow Categoria B: o Reis fica à frente do Vieira na GC? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I beat @benshindel on the Metaculus Summer Cup 1 platforms · —other
- Will "AI pause: the case for ASAP" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Julian Alvarez be sold to Barcelona by the end of the summer transfer window? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a Liberal MP or Senator join Community Strong Australia by the next Australian federal election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Supergirl exceed The Marvels worldwide box office? 1 platforms · —other
- will this market have 50 unique traders by july 5 1 platforms · —other
- [Kalshi] 21st Century ROAD to Housing law becomes law this year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Darializa Avila Chevalier's voting record be interesting? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Kendrick/Parker/Stone/Free Paramount movie get a U.S. theatrical date by Dec. 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the winner of the 2028 presidential election be one of AOC, Newsom, Vance or Rubio? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Lamine Yamal play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Ronaldo play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Lewandowski play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Haaland play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Pulisic play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Harry Kane play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Pio Esposito play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will somebody mammogram/managram me 1500 times 1 platforms · —other
- Boi vai marcar presença da despedida do dig? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Messi play in the 2030 FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will the ICC issue an arrest warrant against a sitting world leader before 2030? 1 platforms · —science
- Will NATO cease to exist before 2030? 1 platforms · —other