Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will the Chicago White Sox finish the 2026 regular season with a better record than the Cleveland Guardians? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the CCP block the release of an LLM from a Chinese lab prior to 2028 1 platforms · —other
- will ayan nayak jmo qual in the big 27 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic IPO before OpenAI? 1 platforms · —science
- will IMO(math) 2026 problem 1 day 1 is a geometry? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Dodgers finish the season with the best record in baseball (including a tie)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "How does such unprofessional AI get the job?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- @ 5:30 am PDT today my Chatterbox score is 111. Will it reach 333 by August 1, 2026 (8/1/26)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Colorado Rockies lose 98 or more games this season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US use access to AI as leverage in trade negotiations with the EU before 2028? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Colombia defeat Portugal? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? 1 platforms · —other
- Silver price above $90 in July 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Silver price under $69 in July 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ronaldo score a goal in the first half against Colombia in the 2026 World Cup? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Mohamed Salah play in the World Cup Round of 16? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Gustavo Pietro go to jail by the end of 2028? 1 platforms · —science
- Nagpur Escorts Service & Local Nagpur Call Girls 1 platforms · —other
- Will Apple source memory chips from a Chinese supplier before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Existential AI safety needs an effective soci..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the US Supreme Court substantially strike down rent control during Trump's term? 1 platforms · —politics
- Palm Beach Pete is Jeffery Epstein 1 platforms · —other
- Will USA beat Bosnia & Herzegovina? | ⚽ 2026 FIFA World Cup 1 platforms · —sports
- Will China restrict the open release of frontier AI models above a capability threshold by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- I'll be attending San Diego Comic-Con on Sunday. Will I spend more than $222.22 on merch? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Flexmode raise at $100M valuation before December 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will GTA VI be delayed again? 1 platforms · —science
- Will a movie win the 'best musical' academy award before the end of May 2033? 1 platforms · —other
- Will GPT 5.6 Sol and Claude Fable 5 become broadly available to US customers on the same day? 1 platforms · —science
- Will an exoplanet (or exomoon) be named after Jacob Rintamaki by 2070? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump set foot in Greenland by the end of July 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Anthropic require ID verification in order to use Fable 5? 1 platforms · —other
- Will >=1 qualifying blockbuster/major-franchise video game be released in the US within 1.5 months of 2028 prez election 1 platforms · —politics
- Will GPT 5.6 Sol be 700+ tok/s on Cerebras when released to the public? 1 platforms · —other
- Will GTA6 have a free weekend/"free for limited time" right before (within 1.5 months b4) the 2028 presidential election 1 platforms · —politics
- Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26? 1 platforms · —other
- SpaceX pivots away from xAI 1 platforms · —science
- Will typical Americans be able to use GPT-5.6 Sol before Fable 5 again? 1 platforms · —science
- Here 33 days. This is my 112th proposition. Will I reach 200 propositions by 7/26/26? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a conflict in Iran after the U.S. midterm elections?” 1 platforms · —politics
- Discovered The Ting Tings. Will I get tired of "That's Not My Name" by 7/27/27? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any Green Bay Packers wide receiver surpass 777 receiving yards in the 2026 NFL season? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will there be another earthquake rating 7.0 or above in Japan within the next 7 days? 1 platforms · —other
- Does the Fed rate change in July? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will any CSTO member state successfully invoke Article 4 in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Surprising facts about the slave trade" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Anti-Social Press reach 100 combined Amazon reviews by the end June 30, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- AI takes down a major payment system by EOY 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Zohran Mamdani officially endorse or campaign for Abdul El Sayed for senate? 1 platforms · —politics
- what will be donald Trump next project 1 platforms · —politics