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50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Drake drops Iceman in May? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Preventing extinction from ASI on a $50M year..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Rivian R2 earn IIHS Top Safety Pick+? 1 platforms · —other
- Will AI find vulnerabilities that couldn't have been found by an elite human researcher? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Kazakhstan get a nuclear bomb before end of 2050? 1 platforms · —other
- On June 1, will I still think the current Anthropic model is the best for reasoning? 1 platforms · —other
- will gta 6 come out before the end of 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30? [Polymarket] 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Architect (Siberian Node) publicly leak the Golden Ratio (1.618) Engineering Prompt in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Israel annex any part of Lebanon before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Swedish Transport Workers' Union (Transportarbetareförbundet) officially oppose self driving vehicles? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Anthropic have a higher valuation than OpenAI on April 18, 2029? 1 platforms · —science
- Will a functioning Golden Ratio integration in Unreal Engine 5 be published by Neural CEO before [17.07.2026]? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Alex Damian become a tenured MIT prof by EOY2031? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Tapio Schneider win the Carl-Gustaf Rossby Research Medal by EOY2045? 1 platforms · —science
- Will ACDC (https://www.uib.no/en/rs/acdc/174760/acdc-2025) still run by 2040? 1 platforms · —other
- will stranger return me $53? 1 platforms · —other
- Will at least 1 SSBSG member qualify for an International olympiad this year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the New York Knicks win Game 1 against the Atlanta Hawks in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will I learn to solve a Rubik's Cube blindfolded? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Tetra's shoulder hurt when she bends it on May 1st 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Major company suffers serious damage from AI agent in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Is Tyrion Lannister a Targaryen? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Luka Doncic return to play in the 2026 NBA playoffs? 1 platforms · —sports
- WILL BRUNO FERNANDES BREAK THE PREMIER LEAGUE ASSIST RECORD THIS SEASON 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be sustained armed conflict between Ethiopia and Eritrea by end of December 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will "Having OCD is like living in North Korea (Her..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic's next ARR figure show an accelerating % growth rate? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Rumen Radev become the new Bulgarian prime minister? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "There are only four skills: design, technical..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Motivation market 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Federal Open Market Committee announce a decrease in the federal funds rate at the June 17, 2026, meeting? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will BigSarr (@thegreekfreak) have sexual intercourse (PIV) in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will NVIDIA announce that "Vera Rubin" GPUs have begun shipping to customers by the end of Q2 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will LeBron James score 35 or more points in any game of the 2026 First Round? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my Jura C9 coffee maker survive five years? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic's API uptime fall below 98% in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- weird al will release a parody of a billboard top 100 song in 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be an xkcd about AI in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will MNX hire a quant trader before June? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I attend Manifest? 1 platforms · —other
- Will jat miss a MOPdle day in the next week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the first pick of the NFL draft be locked in within 4 minutes of being “on the clock”? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Moldova hold a referendum on unification with Romania by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Reevaluating "AGI Ruin: A List of Lethalities..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will I sleep before midnight any day this week? 1 platforms · —other
- To what extent will Tottenham Hotspur pull a RiBer Plate? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I complete all my pressing tasks this week? 1 platforms · —other
- will I post 2 blogposts per day for all of April? 1 platforms · —other