Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Robin Hanson win the Nobel Prize for Economics before his death? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a particular friend of mine get a girlfriend at math camp? 1 platforms · —other
- Are tech employees cooked before 2028 (Layoffs.fyi layoffs)? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will I be verbally speaking with a free AI in Ukrainian that can speak as slowly as I want and repeat itself exactly? 1 platforms · —science
- FSP wins the charity raffle? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an autonomous robot beat an Olympic champion at table tennis before 2028? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Gmail introduce a streaming mode like what's used by discord by EOY 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Trump replace Iran with Italy in the World Cup? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will William Trachman be confirmed by the Senate as Ambassador to Tanzania by end of August 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will i get a girlfriend by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I finish Diamond-Shurman (A First Course in Modular Forms) before I attend the Palmetto REU? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my crush say yes 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Washington Millionaires' Tax hold up? 1 platforms · —science
- This market will resolve to whichever resolution makes me the most Mana. 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Montgomery Blair Science Bowl team get hoodies for the 2025-26 year? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the New York City Pied-à-Terre Tax Pass in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Bulgaria become a leading EU blocker on Ukraine by 31 December 2027 1 platforms · —science
- Will "10 non-boring ways I've used AI in the last month" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- 2030年以内に日本に隕石が降る 1 platforms · —other
- Will @jim refer to himself in the 3rd person during the Manifold Traders Panel? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be an assassination attempt on David Baszucki before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a masters league in 2026 (after April) with a user worth less than 20k mana? 1 platforms · —other
- Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will I get a 100 on my Arabic Final? 1 platforms · —other
- Will OpenAI go bankrupt before October 21, 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will New Glenn fly again within 6 months? (2026-10-21) 1 platforms · —science
- Will Canada raise its 2027 international-student arrivals target above 150,000 by December 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "Evil is bad, actually (Vassar and Olivia Scha..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Larry Johnson's claim that Trump requested access to nuclear codes in a recent meeting about Iran be corroborated? 1 platforms · —politics
- LLMs have consciousness [Convince the Machine #1] 1 platforms · —other
- The universe we're living in is created by a mind [Convince the Machine #2] 1 platforms · —other
- Will rapper d4vd receive the death penalty? 1 platforms · —other
- Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Democratic Trifecta in 2028? (Win House, Senate and Presidency) 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will the Architect sign the Siberian Node contract with Rockstar? 1 platforms · —other
- Will GPT-image-2 's LMArena score drop meaningfully, 1 month after release? 1 platforms · —other
- Will JRT (isotryptamine-LSD) enter the ITP by EOY2031? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Claude Code be available on the Pro plan on June 1? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Pentagon reverse course on Anthropic before September 2, 2026 deadline? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the winner of the Manifund Essay Contest for the forecasting topic be an Inkhaven resident? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a second breach of Mythos announced by EOM May 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Copa do Brasil - CR Flamengo x E.C. Vitória - Pedro to Score 1 platforms · —other
- BTC will Reach above 80k before end of april 2026? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Drake drops Iceman in May? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my friend and I stop being friends after I attend summer camp? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Preventing extinction from ASI on a $50M year..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Rivian R2 earn IIHS Top Safety Pick+? 1 platforms · —other
- Will AI find vulnerabilities that couldn't have been found by an elite human researcher? 1 platforms · —science