Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Brazil lead Norway at the end of 90 minutes (including stoppage time) on July 5, 2026 (7/5/26)? 1 platforms · —other
- Attempt #2! Will I create a new YouTube Channel by 7/10/26? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the November 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Shane Gu live over 1000 years? 1 platforms · —other
- Mexico V England: world cup 2026 round of 16 1 platforms · —other
- Will the 2026-2027 NBA Champion have the best record in the NBA? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Bryan Johnson come to Mirai Tech Popup City? 1 platforms · —science
- Will I qualify for RMM 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Model access for third-parties — it's a big deal!" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Vinfast EV plant in North Carolina, USA produce vehicles by the end of 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Mitch McConnell alive all of July 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The consequences of locking intelligence away..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will GPT-5.6-Sol score at least 59 on the Artificial Analysis Index? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump issue a pardon for Kim Dotcom by the end of 2028? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Kim Dotcom be extradited to the USA by the end of 2027> 1 platforms · —other
- Will Sony release a new Playstation game on a disc in the year 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will silver close above $60 at the end of July, 2026 based on SI=F ticker on Yahoo Finance ($60.82 at market creation) 1 platforms · —other
- Will France beat Paraguay by 2+ goals in regulation on July 4, 2026 (7/4/26)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I run further than @draaglom in July? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I work out at a gym by July 17 (7/17/26)? 1 platforms · —other
- hongkong 1 platforms · —other
- At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Nintendo deliver the Ocarina of Time remake in 2026 as promised? 1 platforms · —other
- J. D. Vance join the SSPX in a public manner before Christmas Eve 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- In 2025, California’s GDP was $4.3 trillion (PPIC.org). Will 2026 GDP be at least 4.4 trillion? 1 platforms · —economics
- Russian attacks or invades Estonia by mid 2029 1 platforms · —other
- Will Magnus Carlsen have the highest ELO in the world in mid 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will abortion be more morally acceptable among Americans in 2027 than in 2026, according to Gallup? 1 platforms · —other
- Portugal Win the World Cup 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will a host nation team reach the quarterfinals of the FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will a rider from Alpecin - Premier Tech finish within 15 seconds of Tadej Pogacar in Stage 1 of the 2026 Tour de France 1 platforms · —other
- Is Claude Mythos 5 an alignment faker like Opus 3? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the next new unique Anthropic Claude Model get temporarily or permanently "banned"? 1 platforms · —other
- Will OpenAI keep the Sora/Videos API available past September 24, 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will TheOldLlm get to 1K discord users before the end of next month? 1 platforms · —other
- Brazil Election 2026: Will Michelle Bolsonaro be registered as a candidate for any office? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will I severely injure myself with my new supermagnets? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the top Chinese AI model exceed the top US AI model before 2028? 1 platforms · —science
- Will this market trade yes or no? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Kevin Durant be a Houston Rockets player on July 1st 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic file a therapeutic patent before July 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will anyone finish five chicken bowls in 20 minutes at RSI 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a teardown confirm domestically-manufactured HBM in a shipping Chinese AI accelerator by end of 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the US Congress extend Trump's 10% global tariffs before they expire on July 24, 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to actual normal of 100 ships per day during Trump's presidency. 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Kyrie Irving be a Dallas Mavericks player on July 1st 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Argentina defeat Cabo Verde by 2 or more goals? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the season 4 premiere of House of the Dragon receive fewer than 20 million viewers? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Labor lead One Nation in the polls at the end of July 2026? 1 platforms · —other