Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will the winner of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup be a team from Europe (UEFA)? 1 platforms · —sports
- "Will the #1 movie at the US domestic box office this July 4th weekend (July 3–5) gross over $85 Million?" 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Destroying the universe: How hard can it be?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- If Mitch McConnell vacates his senate seat before the term ends, will Andy Beshear appoint a Democrat to the seat? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will there be a stuffed gwern hug pillow (or realdoll) available for purchase by EOY2045? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Equator Therapeutics (equatortherapeutics.com) generate positive return for its investors? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will https://www.generalproximity.bio/ generate positive return for its investors? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will someone hang a giant Jose Luis Ricon poster in moxsf.com for a period of more than 4 days in 2026-2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Andy Burnham last 2 years? (Niall Ferguson bet.) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mitch McConnell's Senate seat be vacant Christmas Eve 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Rust be the most admired *and* most desired language in the 2025 StackOverflow developer survey? 1 platforms · —other
- At the end of 2027 will both OpenAI and Anthropic be public companies? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Russia or Belarus attack Poland in the next year? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Cade Klubnik start a game for the NY Jets in the 2026 regular season or playoffs? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Picture? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Saving Gemini: The 9-Min Road to Recovery" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US cut ASML off Cymer before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Lionel Messi scores 2+ goals against Cabo Verde 1 platforms · —science
- Will Josh Shapiro get 60.00% or more of the vote in 2026 Pennsylvania Governor election? 1 platforms · —politics
- New fish speaces in july 1 platforms · —other
- Will the next George R. R. Martin "Not a Blog" post mention "The Winds of Winter"? 1 platforms · —other
- PROMISE (OPTIMISM) roam the moon by Christmas Eve 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Roman Space Telescope launch be a success? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the October 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%? 1 platforms · —economics
- will the banff vlog be released before january 1. 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Can Manifold solve this problem? 1 platforms · —other
- Will GTA 7 be announced before 2036? 1 platforms · —other
- Will CAISI have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will PredictPanda reach 100 users by the end of July? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump go to the hospital this month? 1 platforms · —politics
- BCI + AI Hivemind before 2050? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter? 1 platforms · —other
- Will someone manipulate the weather to manipulate a weather market? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be a significant antipope by EOY 2040? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a team from outside UEFA or CONMEBOL reach the 2026 World Cup Semifinals? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic's closing price be greater than its opening price on its first trading day? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I be an Expert on CF before August? (sorry the previous one was wrong) 1 platforms · —other
- Will I be an Pupil on CF before August? (sorry the previous one was wrong) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Vladimir Putin's approval rating decrease in July 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Does a World Cup host country make the semi-final round? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Balogun play in USA's next World Cup game against Belgium? 1 platforms · —science
- Will this market have under 100 traders by the end of August? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Your Model Organisms Might Be Fried" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- portugal win croaia？ 1 platforms · —science
- Will Chuck Schumer be the senate majority leader after the 2026 midterms? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will I surpass 30k mana NW again before Sep 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- WIll Ukraine become a Civ7/6/5 civ by EOY2030? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the distributed training of AI be illegal before 2028 1 platforms · —science
- Will USA beat Belgium? | ⚽ 2026 FIFA World Cup 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Jay Feely win the Republican Primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District on July 21, 2026? 1 platforms · —politics