Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will a community college win top 5 at the 2026 Putnam? 1 platforms · —other
- MLB: Will the New York Yankees win exactly 2 games in their 4-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (July 6–9, 2026)? 1 platforms · —sports
- I burned my arm on the oven on the 4th of July. Will it scar? 1 platforms · —other
- Will SpaceX be the customer for more than half of orbital payload mass in 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Ukraine control more territory after the war than it would have under Trump's 28-point plan? 1 platforms · —politics
- Habrá una lista opositora en las Elecciones al Centro Federado de Medicina Veterinaria de 2026? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Jarell Quansah play in the England-Norway game in the quarter-final of the World Cup 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the standalone Hulu app still exist on July 1, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Romantic Relationships 1 platforms · —other
- UAP's will appear over the FIFA world cup finale in New Jersey? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will "Harry Potter and the Rules of Quidditch" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Standing seats on regular commercial flights by end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any senator die within July? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Manifold ever ban trading bonus "slop" markets? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Noam Bavli become a millionaire by January 6, 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will there be famine in Russia before 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- Opus 4 revived by EoY 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will August 2026 be warmer than July 2026 (ERA5)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the water temperature at NOAA Station SDBC1 (San Diego) hit 72.7°F or higher at any point before August 27, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the combined net worth of Greg Brockman and Dario Amodei exceed that of Elon Musk, before one of them dies? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "(Don't fear) the strangelet" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- If proportional representation is in Labour's next manifesto, will they win the GE? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Temu go out of business in the EU before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be at least one more peace talk by the US and Iran before August 1? 1 platforms · —other
- Will July 2026 in Paris, France be the hottest July Paris has ever had? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Taiwan Composite Index be able to form a high of around 52302.33 within the limited timeframe? 1 platforms · —science
- Is Mitch McConnell wife (Elaine Chao) up to no good? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "Every Benchmark is Broken" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- USA vs Belgium — Who will win? 1 platforms · —other
- Will fatespeaker reach Candidate Master on Codeforces before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Resolves oppositely 1 platforms · —other
- Will I permaban 10+ users by end July 12th? 1 platforms · —other
- will an AI get a nobel prize before 2040? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Vozinha join a decent football club in 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Kalshi or Polymarket be acquired by EOY 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Disney’s live-action Moana outgross Universal's Minions & Monsters domestically by July 30? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any G7 nation release a UAP-related document cache exceeding 500 pages before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will David Grusch testify before a US Congressional committee again before January 1, 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Taylor Swift announce she’s pregnant by Swiftmas (Dec. 13)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a peer-reviewed paper analyzing UAP sensor data be published in a Nature-family journal before January 1, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will AARO's next public report reference data collected from more than 3 distinct sensor modalities? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US government officially acknowledge retrieving non-human craft before January 1, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Generation Starship By 2150 1 platforms · —other
- Will Taylor Swift give birth to baby in 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will anyone managram me 5000 mana in 1 week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I reach 300 Questions by August 18, 2026 (8/18/26)? (This is my 151st.) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Last Week Tonight with John Oliver be renewed for a 14th season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I spend more than $1,500 on food in July 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will UK AISI be gutted in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the St. Louis Cardinals have 50 or more wins entering the 2026 All-Star Break? 1 platforms · —other