Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will I burnout by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Trump Lost parliament Support Before 2028 1 platforms · —politics
- Will any World Cup team win multiple games in the knockout stage via penalty shootouts? 1 platforms · —other
- Will US Congress pass a law that substantially preempts state AI regulation before January 1, 2027? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Claude Sonnet 5 be released before June 28? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a movie or TV show adaptation of the comic Bone be released before 2033? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Fable 5 be reenabled for Everyone at the same time? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Maine join the EU before 2060? 1 platforms · —science
- Is Roblox YouTuber VanilBean will first time play brawl stars? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trey Murphy III get traded before the next NBA Season? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will GPT-5.6 beat Fable 5? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Google Can't Math Parsecs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the World Cup winners of this century finish first in their groups? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I be convinced that an X user was banned from X for using Birdclaw in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the San Diego County Fair 2026 official website list total attendance ≥ 888,888? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the UK Government establish a dedicated immigration enforcement agency similar to US ICE by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Manifold Markets 7-day average of Daily Active Users will be at least 29,000 by January 29, 2029 (1/29/29). 1 platforms · —science
- Will Elon Musk become a playable character in Mechwarrior 6 (or a mod)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Green Bay Packers allow fewer than 50 total points in their 2026 NFL preseason games? 1 platforms · —sports
- WIIL I get first of my bronze league this week? 🩶 1 platforms · —other
- Will Keir Starmer have a position in Andy Burnham's first cabinet? 1 platforms · —other
- Will either of the two remaining greyhound racing tracks in the US close down by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Andy Burnham run for Labour leader unchallenged? 1 platforms · —other
- Will USDA APHIS confirm an African Swine Fever (ASF) case in any animal on US soil in 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The Invisible Side of AI Governance" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" earn more than $230M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening we 1 platforms · —other
- Will I publish my personal site/blog this month? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Keir Starmer's successor have a longer tenure as prime minister than Keir? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my Trader bonuses exceed 100,000 for the June 2026 season? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Mr Beast pass Messi in amount of subscribers/followers before the world cup ends? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the S&P 500 index close below 4,800 points on any trading day between June 22 and July 10, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the US launch a Manhattan Project / Apollo Program for AI safety by EOY 2030? 1 platforms · —science
- Will BasedBeffJezos turn into a playable character in any Mechwarrior game like Mechwarrior 6 by 2040? 1 platforms · —other
- will x have a significant other by the end of ross 1 platforms · —other
- Updated my profile because a user saw a problem with my N/A. Will I do it again by 7/26/26 because of a user's comments? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Jose Luis Ricon ever summit Mulhacén? 1 platforms · —other
- will x crack by the end of ross 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Guardian Angels: LLM Personalization for Prod..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu remain Prime Minister until the end of Macron's term? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the US attack European AI/compute providers before 2035? 1 platforms · —science
- Will US CPI inflation (12-month) for June 2026 be 4.5% or higher? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will there be a new war by the 1 of July 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a magnitude 8.0+ earthquake occur before September 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic require training-consent for any frontier model by mid-2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Anthropic train a model on the Fable 5 retained user data by mid-2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Callum Turner cheat on Dua Lipa? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Cristiano Ronaldo get a yellow/red card against Colombia? 1 platforms · —science
- Will SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will SpaceX catch Ship before New Glenn RTF? 1 platforms · —science
- [API TEST] Manifold plugin integration test market 1 platforms · —other