Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- [API TEST] Manifold plugin integration test market 1 platforms · —other
- Will ≥ 25 people give me 100 or more mana before close date? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Southern California experience snow this winter? 1 platforms · —other
- Will OpenAI release a Mythos-class model before Fable is reenabled? 1 platforms · —science
- Will there be a Billy Bat anime, tv show, or movie released before the end of 2032? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a new theatrical Star Trek movie be released on or before January 30, 2030 (1/30/30)? 1 platforms · —other
- Will 10,000+ people die of heat in Texas in a single week before 2032? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a single heat wave kill 10,000+ people in Texas within one week before 2032? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The LLM shoggoth meme is weirder than you think" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Putin lose his position as President of Russia before the end of his term, May 6, 2030? 1 platforms · —politics
- July 26 (7/26/26) Will I be below 300 lbs. at my morning weigh-in? 314.2 today. 1 platforms · —other
- Will a new FrontierMath Open Problem be solved by AI before August 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will NWS issue a new Beach Hazards Statement for the San Francisco Peninsula Coast between June 21 and June 26, 2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will Los Angeles AQI exceed 151 at least once between June 27 – July 3, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Leevoid go to the gym on the 21st of June 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Arlan get 1 million users by July 1st, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I think OpenAI was being honest about their structure in 2025? 1 platforms · —science
- Will cyan rewrite folk in rust by June 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will eldar grow his dick by 5 cm by the end of June 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the U.S. Supreme Court release a signed opinion in Trump v. Barbara on or before June 30, 2026 (6/30/26)? 1 platforms · —politics
- GPT-5.6 Outperforms Claude Fable 5 on FrontierMath Tier 4? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Elon musk live to see humanity become a Kardashev 3 civilization? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Edwin S Kite be alive to see humanity become a kardashev level one civilization 1 platforms · —other
- Will Andy Burnham lead Labour to the next general election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will DELL close above $470 this week? 1 platforms · —other
- Будет ли фьючерс NASDAQ более 30800.00 22.06.2026 1 platforms · —other
- Will Truth Social be bought before 2029? 1 platforms · —other
- With the new peace talks with Iran, will interest rate rates lower in the next eight weeks? 1 platforms · —economics
- Sweet & Sour Showdown: Will Michigan Sweet be priced higher than Wyoming Sour crude oil on Juneteenth 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Does China have an ASML EUV machine? (as of June 19, 2026) 1 platforms · —other
- Will a country do a bombing live stream by EOY 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- 2026 FIFA World Cup: Will there be at least one 4–0 knockout match AND fewer than 8 total 3–0 knockout matches? 1 platforms · —sports
- 2026 FIFA World Cup: Will there be exactly 6 or 7 knockout matches ending 3–0? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will the US be at full employment in December 2026? 1 platforms · —economics
- Pourrait il avoir un attentat au USA pendant la coupe du monde 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Sam altman have visible grey hair by eoy2028? 1 platforms · —science
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2027? (Tumbles Judgement) 1 platforms · —science
- Will the FCDO advise against travel to Manama, Bahrain at any time by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Dario Amodei still be CEO of Anthropic by the end of August 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a sample from the Martian system be returned to Earth by an Asian space agency before a Western space agency? 1 platforms · —science
- On January 1st 2027 will there be any part of Niger the FCDO does not recommend against all travel to? 1 platforms · —science
- World's first quadrillionaire before EOY 2040 1 platforms · —science
- Will I get the Manifold Hat (Merch) By EOY? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Twin prime Conjecture be proven before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- By Aug 26, 2026 (8/26/26), will I refer at least one person to a rehab ministry? (I'm an evangelist.) 1 platforms · —other
- Will I finish the first draft of my novel by the end of the year? 1 platforms · —other
- Oliver Tree is still alive 1 platforms · —other
- Will Adam Chase or Ben Doyle endorse Alex Bores for Congress? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Jamie Joyce win the 2026 12th California Congressional district race? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Nvidia be the most valuable public company in the world at the end of 2028? 1 platforms · —other