Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Uzbekistan make it to the next round in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Senegal BEAT France in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Anthropic release Claude 5 before Apple releases a foldable iPhone? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "theory uplift differentially benefits safety ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- GOOGL Sep18'26 600? 1 platforms · —other
- Will national gas prices in the US average above $3.60 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump publically lose support of the military before 2029? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the S&P 500 hit 8000 before July 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Gemini 3.5 Pro June? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Cerebras Systems Inc. (CBRS) stock reach $400 at any point before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic open Rome office by 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Kalish keep it up for another week? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Risk from fitness-seeking AIs: mechanisms and..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will there be a jumping heel click emoji by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I get Unicode to make a new emoji by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Waymo still have serious problems with flooded streets in 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- [Free mana] Will the US recognise Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- [Free mana] Will Vladimir Putin's approval rating decrease in May 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I bet on this market? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Taylor Swift re-release her debut album in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I make ARML TB? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Obama be formally associated with Anthropic before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Free Lottery (galactic year) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Brad Lander win the NY10 Democratic House Primary? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "A Year Late, Claude Finally Beats Pokémon " make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be 100+ HackerNews stories posted in 24h? 1 platforms · —other
- Julia Letlow or Katie Britt 2028 Republican VP nominee? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Empowerment, corrigibility, etc. are simple a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? [Polymarket] 1 platforms · —politics
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31? [Polymarket] 1 platforms · —science
- Will Bob Miller take a shit on the lawn of the court house if he loses the Mayoral Race in Glasgow? 1 platforms · —other
- Will code vulnerabilities (CVE records) more then double in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Legend of Zelda movie release on or before April 30, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I make a small office shed before August 1st? 1 platforms · —other
- Will OpenAI broadly release a dedicated Cyber model to Trusted Access users by Sep 30, 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will there be a red card in the 2026 UEFA Champions League final? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Andy Burnham lose a by-election in 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will CISA add at least 25 vulnerabilities to the KEV catalog in May 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the global refined copper market record a deficit of 500,000+ tonnes for full-year 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Scary Movie 6" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weekend? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Optimisation: Selective versus Predictive" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Sanji have a nose bleed over ZaZa the Rain God/Nightmare? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Android succeed in making it harder to side-load apps 1 platforms · —other
- Will Starmer contest a leadership challenge? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Iran / US war resume before May 22nd? 1 platforms · —other
- This Market will Resolve at number of Traders% 1 platforms · —other
- Will Andy Burnham be the Labour candidate for the Makerfield by-election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the Shiller P/E Ratio exceed 50 by Jan 1, 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Apple's WWDC26 Keynote transcript mention MCP or Model Context Protocol? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the origin of the MV Hondius hantavirus outbreak be revealed to be from rats on the ship itself? 1 platforms · —other