Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will my new phone crash from gaming too hard? 1 platforms · —other
- Will NASA livestream of the August 12, 2026 total solar eclipse exceed 2 million concurrent viewers? 1 platforms · —science
- Will any space agency intentionally deflect an asteroid that would otherwise have impacted Earth by August 1, 2034? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Vinicius Junior sign for Arsenal? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Aella (the original creator) have a baby by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will MP (the original creator) consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will The Odyssey (2026) be Christopher Nolan's highest grossing film at the domestic box office? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Zoro kill/defeat a Gorosei? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Trump outlive Biden? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Donald Trump outlive Joe Biden? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will General Artificial Intelligence happen before 2035? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Reform win the next UK election? 1 platforms · —politics
- By 2029, will an AI be able to generate Video Games comparable to ~2023 'AA' Mid Market Games? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky? 1 platforms · —other
- Will GPT6 release before GTA6? 1 platforms · —other
- If China invades Taiwan, will the United States intervene directly? 1 platforms · —science
- [ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025? 1 platforms · —other
- High Quality AI-Generated Video Games by prompt before 2045? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040? 1 platforms · —other
- Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet? 1 platforms · —other
- Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander? 1 platforms · —other
- Will working be necessary in 2070? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Vladimir Putin still be alive at the beginning of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- 🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️⚧️✨ 1 platforms · —other
- Will ICE be deployed at polling stations during the 2026 midterm elections? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania? 1 platforms · —other
- Will AOC run for president in 2028? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI add a higher tier subscription >= 400$ in 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Andrew Tate be found guilty of any of the charges he was detained for on the 29th of December 2022 1 platforms · —science
- Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030? 1 platforms · —science
- By 2050, will there be a cure to aging? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be another pandemic by the year 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030? 1 platforms · —science
- Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the US and Iran be at war on January 1st, 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will there be an AI bubble before 2030? 1 platforms · —science
- Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Joe Biden Survive Until Inauguration Day 2029? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032) 1 platforms · —science
- Is Lumina probiotics a scam? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years? 1 platforms · —other
- Will humans born between 1990-2000 be able to live for 150 years? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Is Rosie the dog's AI-designed mRNA cancer vaccine legitimate? 1 platforms · —science