Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will the ARC-AGI grand prize be claimed by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —science
- In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet? 1 platforms · —science
- Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Do we live in a simulation? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ukrainians who came to USA under the U4U program be allowed to legally stay for 5+ years? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(6) be known before 2075? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Lucy Letby be exonerated? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will P vs NP be resolved before man lands on Mars? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Kizaru betray/defect the Marines? 1 platforms · —other
- Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill? 1 platforms · —other
- [ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey 1 platforms · —politics
- Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2026? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Real-time whole human brain emulation runs before end of 2038 (not necessarily an 'upload' of a specific human). 1 platforms · —science
- By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population? 1 platforms · —science
- Will we get fusion reactors before 2038? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term? 1 platforms · —politics
- By 2028, will economists attribute a visible break in US economic or productivity trends to AI? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Donald Trump be impeached during his second term? 1 platforms · —politics
- If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030 1 platforms · —science
- Will there be WW3 before 2045? 1 platforms · —other
- Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ukraine accept a peace deal that cedes contested land in Donetsk and/or Luhansk? 1 platforms · —science
- Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030? 1 platforms · —science
- Will there be MAJOR, HISTORIC-LEVEL protests against Trump during his second term? 1 platforms · —politics
- In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Trump be impeached again during his second term? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029 (noon ET)? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will SPX (SP500) be > 10,000 on 2030-01-01 ? 1 platforms · —other
- Will an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028 1 platforms · —science
- [READ DESCRIPTION] Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [Polymarket] 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Mitch McConnell resign or die before the end of his term in 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will at least one of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved before 2030? 1 platforms · —science
- Will AI resolve P vs NP by 2050? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will tesla be worth more than 2T$ by 2030? 1 platforms · —other