Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Hannover 96 be promoted to the Bundesliga tomorrow? 1 platforms · —other
- Thunder vs Spurs, NBA Western Conference Final Series Winner 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Starship Flight 12 Achieve All Flight Goals? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Apple mention OpenAI or ChatGPT in its WWDC 2026 keynote? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Apple mention Google or Gemini in its WWDC 2026 keynote? 1 platforms · —other
- Will NVDA close above $230 on Friday, June 5, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Brent crude futures close above $110 on Friday, May 22, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Bitcoin trade above $90,000 between now and June 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will I buy gasoline for more than $5/gallon this year (USA) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic release a new model stronger than Haiku 4.5 before June 16? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "MATS 9 Retrospective & Advice" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Dan complain about the cost of NYC unprompted? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Apple's WWDC 2026 keynote include any verbal reference to OpenAI? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 French Open men's singles title? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Iga Świątek reach the 2026 French Open women's singles final? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the May 2026 US nonfarm payrolls report show fewer than 100,000 jobs added? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the May 2026 US CPI year-over-year reading come in above 2.8%? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Bitcoin (Coinbase BTC-USD) close above $85,000 on June 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Israel and Hamas (or a Hamas-affiliated mediator) announce a new ceasefire by June 14, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will SpaceX complete a Starship integrated test flight reaching orbital insertion by June 14, 2026? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will the 2026 NBA Finals go to a Game 7? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Donald Trump issue an executive order imposing new tariffs on EU-origin goods by June 14, 2026? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will there be many more cyber vulnerabilities in 2027 due to AI? 1 platforms · —science
- Will SpaceX's IPO (ticker SPCX) price on or before June 11, 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will SPCX close more than 30% above its IPO offering price on its first trading day? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy meet in person by June 14, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Hope (dir. Na Hong-jin) win the 2026 Cannes Palme d'Or? 1 platforms · —other
- will there be a major linux virus in 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Cannabinoids I have Known and Loved (CIKaL) be published by EOY2032? 1 platforms · —other
- Andy Burnham PM before 1 November 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Google AI Pro/Ultra usable in third party apps before 2027? 1 platforms · —science
- Will my nephew join Manifold before June 1? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Incriminating misaligned AI models via distil..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- If Andy Burnham loses the Makerfield by election, will be contest another by election before 2029? 1 platforms · —politics
- Keir Starmer out before September 1 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will AI psychosis make it into the DSM6? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Nvidia launch an RTX 5090 Ti, Titan, or equivalent flagship GPU before 2028? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the Penrith Panthers beat the St George Illawarra Dragons today? NRL 1 platforms · —other
- Will I be able to convince Claudius Maximus in any Convince the Machine? 1 platforms · —other
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? [Polymarket] 1 platforms · —politics
- Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano fight 1 platforms · —other
- Will Julia Letlow win the Louisiana Republican primary for senate? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will a captive coelecanth live in aquarium for more than 3 years by 2032 1 platforms · —other
- Will any horse win the Triple Crown in 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the 2026 French Open men's singles final be won in straight sets? 1 platforms · —science
- Free Lottery (Messier catalogue) 1 platforms · —other
- Will the 2026 Fifa World Cup winner, draw or lose in the group stage? 1 platforms · —sports
- 2026 FIFA World Cup Mega-Market: 3rd Place (TBD beats TBD) 1 platforms · —sports
- yes Mitch Keller: 3+,yes Nick Lodolo: 3+,yes Jake Irvin: 2+,yes Sonny Gray: 3+,yes Andrew Painter: 3+,yes Dylan Cease: 4+,yes Framber Valdez: 3+,yes Christian Scott: 3+,yes Max Meyer: 3+,yes Simeon Woods Richardson: 3+,yes Jacob Misiorowski: 6+,yes Michael King: 3+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 1+,yes James Harden: 1+,yes Cade Cunningham: 1+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 2+,yes James Harden: 6+,yes Cade Cunningham: 6+,yes Jarrett Allen: 1+,yes Jalen Duren: 1+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 20+,yes James Harden: 15+,yes Cade Cunningham: 25+,yes Donovan Mitchell: 2+,yes Evan Mobley: 4+,yes Cade Cunningham: 2+,yes Jalen Duren: 6+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Evan Mobley: 10+,yes Jarrett Allen: 10+,yes Ausar Thompson: 10+,yes Cade Cunningham: 25+,yes Duncan Robinson: 10+ 1 platforms · —other