Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan? 1 platforms · —other
- Will commercial nuclear fusion exist in April of 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Jack Ceroni win the fields medal? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Micron (MU) close at least 10% above its June 24, 2026 regular-session close by the end of June 25, 2026? 1 platforms · —other
- Will my account be restricted or removed by Monday, June 22? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ethereum be higher exactly a week from now? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will Solana be higher exactly a week from now? 1 platforms · —other
- Will OpenAI's primary consumer AI product still be branded 'ChatGPT' on December 31, 2033? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the number of U.S. Supreme Court Justices confirmed between June 15, 2026 and January 20, 2029 be at least one? 1 platforms · —other
- Will more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- jalalive 1 platforms · —other
- Will Z win the 2026 Fields Medal? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I reach a streak of 1000? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Jackass: Best and Last" earn more than $25M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their opening weeken 1 platforms · —other
- Will TSMC exceed Nvidia in market capitalization at any point before 2032? 1 platforms · —other
- Will the July 2026 U.S. unemployment rate be at least 4.5%? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner concede 5 or fewer total goals throughout the tournament? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Backrooms be nominated for an Oscar in any category? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Toy Story 5 gross $162.5M or more domestically in its opening weekend? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic be the first among the "Big Three" private AI labs to achieve profitable quarterly earnings? 1 platforms · —science
- Did the 2026 LA mayoral primary have election fraud? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will "American Government Takes Down Claude Fable" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Tetra grow ill on this trip to China? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I drop 4.4 pounds in 111 hours and 11 minutes? (I'm 313.0 and down 13 lbs. in 5 weeks.) 1 platforms · —other
- Will I drop out of undergrad? 1 platforms · —other
- What are the odds of Jesai fucking over Aryaman? 1 platforms · —science
- Will July 2026 core PCE inflation be at least 0.3% month-over-month? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will Berlin-Tegel reach a daily max temperature above 28°C on 2026-06-22? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Victor Wembanyama go on another training arc this summer? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "How well do models follow their constitutions?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will SpaceX valuation drop by -50% or more from its current level by end of 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will I make USA TST Group 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Will I go to church next Sunday? (Today I'll watch REV Church, Vista, CA on YouTube. I went last week.) 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic’s GAAP Net Income be Higher in fiscal year 2026 than fiscal year 2025? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Anthropic release the system card of a model at a new frontier of intellegence by August 31st? 1 platforms · —other
- Will trump ever leave office ? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will the Fed cut the federal funds rate at its July 2026 FOMC meeting? 1 platforms · —economics
- Will Stellaris 2 be released before 2031? 1 platforms · —other
- Werden Robert und Leni auf KlauTa noch zusammenkommen? 1 platforms · —other
- Une arme nucléaire sera-t-elle utilisée dans un conflit armé ou non avant le 31 décembre 2028 ? 1 platforms · —sports
- Anthropic above 10T valuation on June 14 2027 1 platforms · —other
- Will Americans or China get to the Moon By 2030 1 platforms · —other
- Will ASI say jim’s true preference is not to change his personality at all? 1 platforms · —other
- Will SpaxeX stock price reach $300 at any point before 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Average IMDB rating for House of the Dragon Season 3 ≥ Season 2? 1 platforms · —other
- Will July 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? 1 platforms · —other
- Un référendum officiel sera-t-il organisé par au moins un État membre de l’AES avant le 31 déUn référendum cembre 2027 ? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Parkinson's Heuristic: The Only Time To Do An..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Macron va-t-il être destitué ? 1 platforms · —other
- Will July 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? 1 platforms · —economics