Live Odds
All Prediction Markets
50 active events. Volume-weighted consensus across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. Each row has a canonical page that updates every minute.
- Will it rain in Amsterdam on 2026-04-15? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Amsterdam high temperature exceed 18°C on 2026-04-16? 1 platforms · —other
- Will it rain in Banská Štiavnica on 2026-04-16? 1 platforms · —science
- Will the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Iran retaliate against the US naval blockade by July 1 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "Morale" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Congress ameliorate the ACA subsidy cliff for the 2026 tax year? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will OpenAI officially launch any new publicly named AI model before May 1, 2026? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "Annoyingly Principled People, and what befall..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "Anthropic repeatedly accidentally trained aga..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will I do 5 pullups, and 25 push-ups on 50% of days until the end of April. 1 platforms · —other
- Will David Jolly become Florida's next governor? 1 platforms · —other
- Will "The Distaff Texts" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Tesla merge with or be acquired by SpaceX before 2028? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "Tomas Bjartur: The Last Prodigy" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- yes BUF Sabres,yes CAR Hurricanes,yes COL Avalanche,yes LA Kings,yes SJ Sharks 1 platforms · —other
- yes BUF Sabres,yes COL Avalanche,yes TOR Maple Leafs,yes STL Blues 1 platforms · —other
- yes Los Angeles D,yes BUF Sabres,yes EDM Oilers,yes SJ Sharks 1 platforms · —other
- yes Andy Pages: 1+,yes Max Muncy: 1+,yes Will Smith: 1+,yes Bo Bichette: 1+,yes Francisco Lindor: 1+,yes Freddie Freeman: 2+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 2+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 2+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Miami,yes Phoenix wins by over 2.5 points,yes Over 204.5 points scored 1 platforms · —other
- yes Miami,yes Minnesota,yes Andy Pages: 1+,yes Freddie Freeman: 1+,yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+,yes Francisco Lindor: 1+,yes Shohei Ohtani: 1+,yes Justin Wrobleski: 2+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Miami,yes Cleveland,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes TOR Maple Leafs 1 platforms · —other
- yes Nick Kurtz: 1+,yes Corey Seager: 1+,yes Kyle Tucker: 1+,yes Teoscar Hernández: 1+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Karen Khachanov,yes Los Angeles D,yes Minnesota,no Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs 1 platforms · —other
- yes Lorenzo Sonego,yes Barcelona,yes Karolina Muchova 1 platforms · —other
- yes Carlos Cortes: 1+,yes Denzel Clarke: 1+,yes Jacob Wilson: 1+,yes Max Muncy: 1+,yes Shea Langeliers: 1+,yes Tyler Soderstrom: 1+,yes Brandon Nimmo: 1+,yes Corey Seager: 1+,yes Joc Pederson: 1+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes A's,yes Los Angeles D,yes BUF Sabres,yes COL Avalanche,yes LA Kings,yes SJ Sharks 1 platforms · —other
- yes Texas,yes CHI Blackhawks,yes CAR Hurricanes,yes EDM Oilers,yes MIN Wild 1 platforms · —other
- yes Denzel Clarke: 1+,yes Joc Pederson: 1+,yes Luis Severino: 5+,yes Nathan Eovaldi: 6+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Miami,yes Cleveland,yes Los Angeles D,yes TOR Maple Leafs 1 platforms · —other
- yes Lorenzo Musetti,yes Karen Khachanov,yes Los Angeles D,yes Minnesota,no Cleveland wins by over 3.5 runs 1 platforms · —other
- yes Martin Landaluce,yes Sebastian Baez,yes Camilo Ugo Carabelli,yes Sebastian Ofner,yes Lorenzo Sonego 1 platforms · —other
- no Andy Pages: 1+,no Bo Bichette: 1+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes Texas,yes Los Angeles D,yes CAR Hurricanes,yes MIN Wild,yes SJ Sharks 1 platforms · —other
- yes Shohei Ohtani: 2+,yes Randy Arozarena: 1+,yes Jonathan Aranda: 1+,yes Justin Wrobleski: 3+,yes Bryan Woo: 3+ 1 platforms · —other
- yes TOR Maple Leafs,no Buffalo wins by over 1.5 goals,no Los Angeles wins by over 1.5 goals,no San Jose wins by over 1.5 goals 1 platforms · —other
- Will Seth did in Will Trent by the end of 2027? 1 platforms · —crypto
- Will any MLB games be postponed this week? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will "Letting Claude do Autonomous Research to Impr..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —science
- Will Omar Aboutaleb (0mar) hit Candidate Master before June 12 1 platforms · —other
- Will Ukraine gain more territory than it loses in April 2026, according to pro-Ukraine mappers? 1 platforms · —science
- Will "Daycare illnesses" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be collaborating with Anthropic by EOY 2027? 1 platforms · —other
- Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by April 30? 1 platforms · —politics
- Will legal gender change be possible in Hungary before April 2030? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Péter Szijjártó be photographed in Russia before May? 1 platforms · —other
- Will any of these NFL teams trade up into the 1st round in the 2026 NFL draft? 1 platforms · —sports
- Will I get at least one 7 on Paper 1, 2, or 3 of M26 IB Math A&A HL Exam? 1 platforms · —other
- Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election? 1 platforms · —politics
- Is Donald Trump the Antichrist? 1 platforms · —politics